Seattle @ Texas Picks & Props

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 18°, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 38.8° mark in the last week. Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .280 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Jacob deGrom in today's game... and even better, deGrom has a large platoon split. In the past two weeks' worth of games, J.P. Crawford's 56% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%. J.P. Crawford has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .200 rate is quite a bit lower than his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, J.P. Crawford's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 86th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup... and moreover, deGrom has a large platoon split. Over the last 14 days, Luke Raley has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.8% to 24.1%. Luke Raley has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season's 94.7-mph figure.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jonathan Ornelas will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Josh H. Smith is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Josh H. Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh H. Smith will hold that advantage in today's game. By putting up a .316 BABIP this year, Josh H. Smith grades out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Julio Rodriguez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last week's worth of games. Julio Rodriguez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.1-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph figure. Over the last 7 days, Julio Rodriguez's 70.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.8%.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Leody Taveras has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 14 days. Over the last week, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph in recent games. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Leody Taveras has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21° mark in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the last 14 days, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 97.7-mph recently. Over the past week, Randy Arozarena's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 38.9%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive skill to be a .340, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .021 disparity between that mark and his actual .319 wOBA.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.2°, Cal Raleigh has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 33° figure over the last 7 days. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Cal Raleigh has had some very poor luck this year. His .316 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .341.

Justin Turner has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.9-mph average. Justin Turner's launch angle in recent games (29.8° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 18° seasonal mark. Checking in at the 78th percentile, Justin Turner sports a .337 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Sporting a 1.53 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has displayed favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom in today's game... and even better, deGrom has a large platoon split. Last season, Josh Rojas had an average launch angle of 10.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.6°. In the last two weeks, Josh Rojas's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.7%. Josh Rojas has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .285 figure is a good deal lower than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game. Wyatt Langford has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a .316 BABIP this year, Ezequiel Duran is positioned in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Marcus Semien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Adolis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Adolis Garcia's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Among all the teams on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Josh Jung will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Josh Jung's launch angle lately (30.5° in the last week) is a considerable increase over his 11.8° seasonal mark. Josh Jung has recorded a .262 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has had some very poor luck given the .030 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Victor Robles has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph to 92.8-mph in the past 14 days. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Victor Robles's 68.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.9%. Victor Robles has notched a .374 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 95th percentile. Ranking in the 98th percentile, Victor Robles has put up a .322 batting average this year.