Final Mar 31
KC 11 +104 o8.5
MIL 1 -113 u8.5
Final Mar 31
MIN 0 -185 o7.0
CHW 9 +169 u7.0
Final Mar 31
BOS 5 +131 o9.5
BAL 8 -142 u9.5
Final Mar 31
COL 1 +273 o9.0
PHI 6 -310 u9.0
Final Mar 31
TEX 3 -125 o8.5
CIN 14 +115 u8.5
Final Mar 31
NYM 10 -185 o8.5
MIA 4 +169 u8.5
Final Mar 31
PIT 1 +160 o8.5
TB 6 -174 u8.5
Final Mar 31
WAS 2 +151 o8.5
TOR 5 -164 u8.5
Final (10) Mar 31
LAA 5 +144 o8.0
STL 4 -157 u8.0
Final Mar 31
SF 7 +109 o8.0
HOU 2 -118 u8.0
Final Mar 31
CLE 2 +121 o7.5
SD 7 -131 u7.5
Final Mar 31
DET 9 +108 o7.5
SEA 6 -117 u7.5
Final Mar 31
CHC 18 -146 o8.5
ATH 3 +135 u8.5
Final Mar 31
ATL 1 +193 o8.0
LAD 6 -213 u8.0

Los Angeles @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Masyn Winn will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today. Masyn Winn has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .267 mark is deflated compared to his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 77th percentile, Masyn Winn has posted a .267 batting average since the start of last season.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Masyn Winn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Masyn Winn will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today. Masyn Winn has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .267 mark is deflated compared to his .280 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 77th percentile, Masyn Winn has posted a .267 batting average since the start of last season.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • LA Angels

Y. Moncada
third base 3B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Miles Mikolas. Yoan Moncada has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .275 rate is considerably lower than his .306 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a .323 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Yoan Moncada grades out in the 75th percentile for offensive skills.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Yoan Moncada is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Miles Mikolas. Yoan Moncada has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .275 rate is considerably lower than his .306 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a .323 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Yoan Moncada grades out in the 75th percentile for offensive skills.

Mike Trout Total Hits Props • LA Angels

M. Trout
center outfield CF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Mike Trout hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) may lead us to conclude that Mike Trout has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .220 actual batting average. Mike Trout's 17.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

Mike Trout

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Mike Trout projects as the 9th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Mike Trout hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.289) may lead us to conclude that Mike Trout has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .220 actual batting average. Mike Trout's 17.1% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 97th percentile since the start of last season.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Lars Nootbaar tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's game.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Lars Nootbaar tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's game.

Logan O'Hoppe Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. O'Hoppe
catcher C • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Logan O'Hoppe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Logan O'Hoppe has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, posting a 23.3° angle. Logan O'Hoppe is in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.8% rate since the start of last season). Grading out in the 84th percentile, Logan O'Hoppe has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

Logan O'Hoppe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Logan O'Hoppe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Logan O'Hoppe has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, posting a 23.3° angle. Logan O'Hoppe is in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.8% rate since the start of last season). Grading out in the 84th percentile, Logan O'Hoppe has notched a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

Victor Scott Total Hits Props • St. Louis

V. Scott
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Extreme groundball batters like Victor Scott are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.270) provides evidence that Victor Scott has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .221 actual wOBA. Victor Scott is quite toolsy, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.96 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Victor Scott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Extreme groundball batters like Victor Scott are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Anderson. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Victor Scott will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.270) provides evidence that Victor Scott has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .221 actual wOBA. Victor Scott is quite toolsy, checking in at the 99th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.96 ft/sec since the start of last season.

Nolan Schanuel Total Hits Props • LA Angels

N. Schanuel
first base 1B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand today. Nolan Schanuel has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .250 figure is a fair amount lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nolan Schanuel has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.

Nolan Schanuel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand today. Nolan Schanuel has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .250 figure is a fair amount lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nolan Schanuel has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.39 K/BB rate.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • LA Angels

J. Soler
right outfield RF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Over the last 7 days, Jorge Soler has averaged an impressive 106-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential. In the last 14 days, Jorge Soler has posted a 24.9° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. Jorge Soler's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) has been 115.4 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Over the last 7 days, Jorge Soler has averaged an impressive 106-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential. In the last 14 days, Jorge Soler has posted a 24.9° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential. Jorge Soler's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) has been 115.4 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Taylor Ward Total Hits Props • LA Angels

T. Ward
left outfield LF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.344) may lead us to conclude that Taylor Ward has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .325 actual wOBA. Taylor Ward's 13.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 90th percentile since the start of last season. Taylor Ward is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (22.3% rate since the start of last season).

Taylor Ward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.344) may lead us to conclude that Taylor Ward has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .325 actual wOBA. Taylor Ward's 13.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 90th percentile since the start of last season. Taylor Ward is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (22.3% rate since the start of last season).

Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • LA Angels

K. Newman
shortstop SS • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Kevin Newman has posted a .267 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Kevin Newman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kevin Newman has posted a .267 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Ivan Herrera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera has been hot of late, notching a a 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Ivan Herrera has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Ivan Herrera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game. Ivan Herrera has been hot of late, notching a a 17.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Jordan Walker's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 115.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson today. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Jordan Walker's maximum exit velocity (a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 115.5-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

Luis Rengifo Total Hits Props • LA Angels

L. Rengifo
third base 3B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Luis Rengifo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luis Rengifo has recorded a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile. Luis Rengifo has notched a .309 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile.

Luis Rengifo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Luis Rengifo hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Luis Rengifo has recorded a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile. Luis Rengifo has notched a .309 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile.

Kyren Paris Total Hits Props • LA Angels

K. Paris
second base 2B • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Kyren Paris hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyren Paris has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .207 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306. The standard deviation of Kyren Paris's launch angle since the start of last season (23.6°) is in the 92nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

Kyren Paris

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kyren Paris hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyren Paris has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .207 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306. The standard deviation of Kyren Paris's launch angle since the start of last season (23.6°) is in the 92nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge today. Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 31% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Nolan Arenado has notched a .272 batting average since the start of last season.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge today. Nolan Arenado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 31% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. Grading out in the 80th percentile, Nolan Arenado has notched a .272 batting average since the start of last season.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compiling a 91.9-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks' worth of games, Brendan Donovan has been in great form lately. Brendan Donovan has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 52.5% of the time in the last two weeks' worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.352) may lead us to conclude that Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .332 actual wOBA.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compiling a 91.9-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks' worth of games, Brendan Donovan has been in great form lately. Brendan Donovan has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 52.5% of the time in the last two weeks' worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.352) may lead us to conclude that Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .332 actual wOBA.

Jo Adell Total Hits Props • LA Angels

J. Adell
right outfield RF • LA Angels
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Jo Adell has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .296 rate is considerably lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jo Adell's 11.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jo Adell has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), grading out in the 94th percentile.

Jo Adell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jo Adell has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .296 rate is considerably lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jo Adell's 11.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jo Adell has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), grading out in the 94th percentile.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's matchup. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Willson Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Anderson in today's matchup. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today.

Luken Baker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Baker
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Luken Baker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Luken Baker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Luken Baker will hold that advantage today. Luken Baker has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .175 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .218 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luken Baker's 97.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

Luken Baker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Luken Baker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Anderson throws from, Luken Baker will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Luken Baker will hold that advantage today. Luken Baker has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .175 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .218 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Luken Baker's 97.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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