Final Apr 1
TEX 1 -147 o8.5
CIN 0 +135 u8.5
Final Apr 1
NYM 2 -147 o7.5
MIA 4 +135 u7.5
Final Apr 1
AZ 7 -124 o8.0
NYY 5 +114 u8.0
Final Apr 1
PIT 0 +147 o9.0
TB 7 -160 u9.0
Final Apr 1
WAS 3 +140 o8.5
TOR 5 -153 u8.5
Final Apr 1
MIN 8 -152 o7.5
CHW 3 +140 u7.5
Final Apr 1
KC 0 +111 o9.0
MIL 5 -120 u9.0
Final (11) Apr 1
LAA 9 +119 o8.0
STL 7 -129 u8.0
Final Apr 1
SF 3 -127 o8.0
HOU 1 +117 u8.0
Final Apr 1
CLE 0 +160 o7.5
SD 7 -175 u7.5
Final Apr 1
DET 4 +154 o6.5
SEA 1 -169 u6.5
Final Apr 1
CHC 7 -126 o8.0
ATH 4 +116 u8.0
Final Apr 1
ATL 1 +109 o7.5
LAD 3 -118 u7.5

Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay props

George M. Steinbrenner Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Oneil Cruz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Oneil Cruz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

I. Kiner-Falefa
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Pepiot who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Hitters such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Pepiot who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Mangum
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Jake Mangum has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Jake Mangum will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake Mangum has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Jake Mangum will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup.

Thomas Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

Tommy Pham is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Extreme groundball batters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Thomas Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Tommy Pham is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Extreme groundball batters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Joseph Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Joey Bart is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°.

Joseph Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Joey Bart is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 13th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 13th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Kameron Misner Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

K. Misner
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kameron Misner will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.

Kameron Misner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kameron Misner will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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