Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

Dylan Moore's batting average talent is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park profiles as the #30 field in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the league. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game. J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .197 mark is deflated compared to his .240 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the league. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Miller in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jonah Heim pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Jonah Heim has been hot lately, tallying a .395 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) may lead us to conclude that Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .297 actual wOBA. Marcus Semien has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile with a 1.63 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller today. Joc Pederson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Bryce Miller. Leody Taveras has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.298) provides evidence that Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .280 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's game. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Josh Jung has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Josh Jung has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 15.7° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (75th percentile). Ranking in the 94th percentile, Josh Jung sports a .294 batting average since the start of last season.

Miles Mastrobuoni will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's game. Miles Mastrobuoni has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Miles Mastrobuoni will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.274) implies that Miles Mastrobuoni has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .230 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.04 ft/sec this year, Miles Mastrobuoni is notably athletic.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage today. Josh Smith is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Josh Smith pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. In the last two weeks, Josh Smith has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .400.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Julio Rodriguez has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Julio Rodriguez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.8-mph average to last year's 94-mph mark.

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game. Jorge Polanco has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph average. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 44% to 57.1%.

Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, the hardest ball Rowdy Tellez has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.5 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the league. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Adolis Garcia has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 12.5% rate last year to 20.6% this season.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.337) implies that Cal Raleigh has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .319 actual wOBA. Cal Raleigh's 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest in the league. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 8.4% rate last season to 13.9% this year.

Jake Burger has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Leo Rivas has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.