Cleveland @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props
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CLE vs PIT Props
Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Gabriel Arias's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batters such as Gabriel Arias with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitch Keller who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Gabriel Arias has been hot of late, tallying a .361 wOBA in the last week.
Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Kyle Manzardo Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge today. The Barrel% of Kyle Manzardo has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.5% last year to 18.6% this year.
Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Joey Bart will have an advantage in today's game.
Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Allen.
Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will be challenged by baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Steven Kwan has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .297 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281.
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
PNC Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .203 rate is considerably lower than his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland
PNC Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Alexander Canario is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Alexander Canario will have an advantage in today's matchup. Alexander Canario will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
PNC Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Over the last 7 days, Angel Martinez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .387.
Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Bryan Reynolds will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jose Ramirez's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 116.6 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile.
Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an edge in today's matchup.
Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Nolan Jones's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Jones is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand in today's game.
Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. PNC Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Ranking in the 81st percentile, the hardest ball Carlos Santana has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill. When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.54 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 91st percentile.
Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Tommy Pham will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Allen. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #5 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jared Triolo will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jhonkensy Noel Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Jhonkensy Noel has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
CLE vs PIT Trends
Cleveland Trends
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 86 away games (+11.85 Units / 13% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 92 of their last 168 games (+7.01 Units / 3% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.90 Units / 40% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 76 of their last 168 games (-28.49 Units / -14% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Game Total Over in 71 of their last 171 games (-25.80 Units / -14% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 86 away games (-14.80 Units / -12% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 86 away games (-8.60 Units / -9% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 11 away games (-6.40 Units / -48% ROI)
Pittsburgh Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 90 of their last 164 games (+4.65 Units / 2% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 164 games (+3.70 Units / 2% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Team Total Over in 74 of their last 164 games (-28.85 Units / -15% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 164 games (-21.40 Units / -11% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 164 games (-18.85 Units / -10% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 79 of their last 164 games (-17.75 Units / -9% ROI)
The Pittsburgh Pirates have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 64 of their last 164 games (-13.75 Units / -7% ROI)
CLE vs PIT Top User Picks
Cleveland Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +18995 |
| 2 | HJLOPEZ | 8-2-0 | +16210 |
| 3 | mindsusan12 | 6-2-2 | +14485 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-5-1 | +14215 |
| 5 | OMREBEL02 | 2-8-0 | +13685 |
| 6 | RebelTell2 | 7-3-0 | +13150 |
| 7 | allan6 | 7-2-1 | +12945 |
| 8 | peacy454 | 4-6-0 | +12845 |
| 9 | midway1942 | 6-3-1 | +12570 |
| 10 | BRUNOD | 8-2-0 | +12486 |
| All Guardians Money Leaders | |||
Pittsburgh Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CJONES1068 | 4-5-1 | +24865 |
| 2 | ThorsHammer | 5-5-0 | +20390 |
| 3 | halfricanknight | 4-6-0 | +18418 |
| 4 | MLBFan8848 | 6-3-1 | +18105 |
| 5 | samua | 6-3-1 | +16845 |
| 6 | chefsloan7 | 5-4-1 | +16115 |
| 7 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +15215 |
| 8 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +15140 |
| 9 | jnc3lb | 7-2-1 | +13730 |
| 10 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +13455 |
| All Pirates Money Leaders | |||