Baltimore @ Washington props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Tomoyuki Sugano in today's game. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. Jackson Holliday has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Jackson Holliday are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Trevor Williams. Jackson Holliday has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .258 mark is a fair amount lower than his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Bell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Josh Bell has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Josh Bell generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Adley Rutschman has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.1% rate last year to 12.9% this year. Adley Rutschman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.4-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph mark.

The #1 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-lowest humidity of the day at 28%. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson today. This year, there has been a decline in Gunnar Henderson's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.86 ft/sec last year to 28.11 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Dylan Crews has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Dylan Crews will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Dylan Crews has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .261 figure is considerably lower than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Cedric Mullins will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 4.9% rate last season to 10% this season. Cedric Mullins has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last year's 87.1-mph mark.

The switch-hitting Nasim Nunez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano. Nasim Nunez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Nasim Nunez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Nasim Nunez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Tomoyuki Sugano today. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split. Ryan O'Hearn has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Compared to last season, Ryan O'Hearn has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 40.8% to 53.2% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today's matchup. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Hitters such as Jose Tena with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Tyler O'Neill's launch angle this season (23.7°) is considerably higher than his 20° angle last year. Since the start of last season, Tyler O'Neill's 17.3% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Heston Kjerstad will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Heston Kjerstad has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Heston Kjerstad's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) grades out in the 90th percentile at 95.6 mph. Posting a .332 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Heston Kjerstad is positioned in the 83rd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. Compared to last season, Jordan Westburg has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.8% to 23.6% this season. Jordan Westburg has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .254 BA is quite a bit lower than his .302 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg's 12.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 86th percentile among his peers.

Ryan Mountcastle has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.