Seattle @ Boston props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 3rd-best pitching conditions of the day. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Julio Rodriguez is in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (39.5% rate since the start of last season).

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 3rd-best pitching conditions of the day. Emerson Hancock will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Bregman in today's game. Typically, hitters like Alex Bregman who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Emerson Hancock. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) suggests that Alex Bregman has been lucky this year with his .379 actual wOBA.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 3rd-best pitching conditions of the day. Last season, Jarren Duran had a launch angle of 8.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 3.8°. Jarren Duran's quickness has decreased this year. His 29.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.9 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. J.P. Crawford hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Last season, J.P. Crawford had an average launch angle of 13.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 20.9°. As it relates to his batting average, J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .203 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Triston Casas will have an edge today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Kristian Campbell has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .398.

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Trevor Story will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.34 ft/sec this year, Ceddanne Rafaela is remarkably quick.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Mitch Garver will have an advantage in today's game. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Mitch Garver generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Sean Newcomb.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Randy Arozarena will have the upper hand in today's game. Randy Arozarena hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock today. Wilyer Abreu is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Dylan Moore will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Newcomb in today's game. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his good side against Sean Newcomb in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sean Newcomb who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Benjamin Williamson will have the upper hand in today's game. Benjamin Williamson is quite fast, placing in the 76th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Donovan Solano will have an edge in today's game. Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 24%.

The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Carlos Narvaez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.293) may lead us to conclude that Carlos Narvaez has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .264 actual wOBA.

Luke Raley has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.