Toronto @ Houston props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball hitters like Brendan Rodgers tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bowden Francis. Brendan Rodgers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher BABIP, and Brendan Rodgers's 25.4° mark (93rd percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Alan Roden will have the upper hand today. Extreme groundball bats like Alan Roden usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. George Springer is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all parks. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. George Springer has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last year to 18.2% this year.

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #22 venue in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Ryan Gusto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today. Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 9th-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bo Bichette today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.308) implies that Alejandro Kirk has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .291 actual wOBA. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Alejandro Kirk has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.9 mph (an advanced standard to study power), grading out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball bats like Yainer Diaz usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bowden Francis. Yainer Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.333) suggests that Yainer Diaz has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .314 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all parks. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bowden Francis.

The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Meyers has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .287 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Andres Gimenez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto in today's matchup.

Will Wagner's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Will Wagner will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Gusto today. Extreme groundball batters like Will Wagner tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Gusto. Will Wagner has recorded a .274 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Minute Maid Park profiles as the #22 venue in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Ryan Gusto will have the handedness advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 87-mph average to last season's 85-mph figure.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field fences among all parks. The weather report expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Christian Walker has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, compiling a 20.3° angle on such balls over the past week.

Anthony Santander has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Addison Barger has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 6 games.