Seattle @ Boston Picks & Props

When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. J.P. Crawford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 21.4% on the season to 33.3% in the past two weeks. J.P. Crawford has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .208 mark is a good deal lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. Triston Casas is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo today... and moreover, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. This contest is expected to have the 9th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. In the last week, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%. Last season, Jarren Duran had a launch angle of 8.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 3.2°. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (0.2° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 3.2° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kristian Campbell will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The switch-hitting Leonardo Rivas will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Leonardo Rivas pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Leonardo Rivas has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .298 rate is deflated compared to his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 87.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 85.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an edge in today's game. Julio Rodriguez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Cal Raleigh usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (75% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Dylan Moore will have an advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Wilyer Abreu stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Mitch Garver will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Mitch Garver are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The #5 field in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 2nd-shallowest RF fences in the league are found in Fenway Park. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, David Hamilton will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Hamilton stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Donovan Solano's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Donovan Solano will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Donovan Solano has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 80-mph to 83.7-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Benjamin Williamson will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. In the past week, Benjamin Williamson has displayed impressive power, recording a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power).