Miami @ Los Angeles props

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 21.6% underlying K%. Considering that flyball batters hold a big edge over groundball pitchers, Edward Cabrera and his 46.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard spot in this game going up against 0 opposing GB hitters. Edward Cabrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. With a 0.43 difference between Edward Cabrera's 10.14 K/9 and his 9.71 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Dustin May has relied on his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 55% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.