Kansas City @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props
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KC vs TB Props
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Taj Bradley will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Taj Bradley. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. In the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%. Bobby Witt Jr. has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 85.2-mph over the past 7 days.
Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Yandy Diaz will be in a tough position in today's game.
Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Christopher Morel will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Christopher Morel has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 10.3% rate last season to 25.6% this season. Christopher Morel has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 25.6% seasonal rate to 50% over the last 7 days.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jonathan India's launch angle this season (22°) is significantly higher than his 13.3° angle last season. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 22.9% on the season to 37.5% in the last week's worth of games.
Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Chandler Simpson will have the upper hand today. Chandler Simpson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Maikel Garcia has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Maikel Garcia are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Taj Bradley. Maikel Garcia has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year's 90.4-mph mark.
Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hunter Renfroe has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 92.2-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Drew Waters will get to bat from his good side against Taj Bradley in today's game. Drew Waters pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Drew Waters has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, notching a 19.8° angle on such balls over the past 14 days.
Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 48.9% on the season to 57.9% over the last 14 days. Taylor Walls has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .222 figure is a fair amount lower than his .268 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.334) provides evidence that Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year with his .278 actual wOBA.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Taj Bradley today. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle from last year's 14.4° to 22.9° this season.
Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game.
Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Danny Jansen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Danny Jansen has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.7-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.4-mph average. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 16.4% to 23.1%. Over the past 7 days, Danny Jansen's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 23.1%.
Kameron Misner Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kameron Misner will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today.
Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 20°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 34.5° angle in the last week's worth of games. Placing in the 80th percentile, Jose Caballero sits with a .315 BABIP since the start of last season.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today's game. Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (22.2°) is quite a bit better than his 16.7° figure last year.
KC vs TB Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 42% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.20 Units / 20% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 29 games (-16.75 Units / -48% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 25 games (-11.40 Units / -42% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 12 away games (-7.60 Units / -59% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 28 games (-10.90 Units / -30% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 29 games (-10.40 Units / -25% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 19 games (-5.65 Units / -24% ROI)
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 115% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+2.90 Units / 10% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.55 Units / 43% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 28 games (-9.35 Units / -28% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 28 games (-7.70 Units / -20% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 games at home (-5.60 Units / -32% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 23 games (-7.20 Units / -27% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 23 games (-6.45 Units / -25% ROI)
KC vs TB Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||