Philadelphia @ New York Picks & Props
PHI vs NYM Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
PHI vs NYM Consensus Picks
PHI vs NYM Props
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Jesse Winker is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jesse Winker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Jesse Winker has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Extreme flyball hitters like Johan Rojas generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tylor Megill. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. J.T. Realmuto has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph average.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Tylor Megill today. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Alec Bohm hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, notching a .204 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .119 discrepancy.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.
Luisangel Acuna Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Luisangel Acuna's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luisangel Acuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luisangel Acuna will hold that advantage in today's game.
Luis Torrens Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's game. Luis Torrens has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 96.6-mph.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Tyrone Taylor has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. In the past week, Max Kepler's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.8%.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Francisco Lindor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill today.
Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
PHI vs NYM Trends
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.45 Units / 74% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 59% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have not hit the Game Total Under in any of their last 7 games (-7.65 Units / -100% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 9 games (-7.25 Units / -61% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 15 games (-6.05 Units / -31% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Under in 1 of their last 6 games (-4.75 Units / -66% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (-4.40 Units / -23% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 86 away games (-14.35 Units / -14% ROI)
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 27% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 84 games at home (+4.45 Units / 4% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 22 games (-9.85 Units / -40% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 17 games (-7.25 Units / -34% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 22 games (-4.80 Units / -18% ROI)
The New York Mets have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 22 games (-2.10 Units / -8% ROI)
PHI vs NYM Top User Picks
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||