Final Nov 14
DAL 113 -8.0 o230.0
UTA 115 8.0 u230.0
Boston 2nd Eastern Conference57-25
Atlanta 7th Eastern Conference41-41

Boston @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Al Horford has made 39.2% of his three-pointers while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Al Horford has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Al Horford has averaged 29.8 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Celtics.

Al Horford

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Al Horford has made 39.2% of his three-pointers while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA. Al Horford has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Al Horford has averaged 29.8 minutes per game on the road this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Celtics.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Under
-129
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Under
-129
Projection Rating

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should decrease plays for the Hawks.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should decrease plays for the Hawks.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 72.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season playing at home. The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for scoring; when the Celtics are away from home, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 72.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season playing at home. The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for scoring; when the Celtics are away from home, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 2.7 treys per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.0). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made 2.7 treys per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 29th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.0). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Trae Young has attempted a lowly 6.3 3-pointers per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.0 mark last year. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should decrease plays for the Hawks. The matchup vs. Boston is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are the visiting squad (10th-least in the NBA).

Trae Young

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Trae Young has attempted a lowly 6.3 3-pointers per game this year, significantly lower than his 8.0 mark last year. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The Celtics have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should decrease plays for the Hawks. The matchup vs. Boston is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Celtics are the visiting squad (10th-least in the NBA).

Marcus Smart Points Scored Props • Boston

M. Smart
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-102
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Under
-102
Projection Rating

Marcus Smart has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Marcus Smart will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production across the board.

Marcus Smart

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Marcus Smart has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling. The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Marcus Smart will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production across the board.

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Boston

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 13.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Malcolm Brogdon has converted a terrific 42.5% of his treys this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.6 mark last year. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one; when the Hawks are at home, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (21.5). The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Celtics.

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 13.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Malcolm Brogdon has converted a terrific 42.5% of his treys this year, quite a bit higher than his 29.6 mark last year. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against Atlanta is a strong one; when the Hawks are at home, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (21.5). The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Celtics.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a challenging one for threes; when the Hawks are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 12th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production for all stats.

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a challenging one for threes; when the Hawks are at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 12th-least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production for all stats.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Collins
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

John Collins has made 5.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. John Collins has sunk 51.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 20.5% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year on his home court. John Collins has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

John Collins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

John Collins has made 5.0 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA. John Collins has sunk 51.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 20.5% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year on his home court. John Collins has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Jayson Tatum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (96th percentile). The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production across the board.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.3

Jayson Tatum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (96th percentile). The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production across the board.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for threes; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (40.5%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Saddiq Bey will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for threes; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (40.5%). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Saddiq Bey will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game this season, a big improvement over his 18.2 mark last season. Jaylen Brown has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Celtics. The Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.6 shots from the field per game this season, a big improvement over his 18.2 mark last season. Jaylen Brown has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Celtics. The Hawks have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Clint Capela has converted 72.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for scoring; when the Celtics are away from home, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Clint Capela

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Clint Capela has converted 72.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 6.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this season. The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for scoring; when the Celtics are away from home, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most field goals per game in the league this year (6.3). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). The Celtics have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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