NBA Player Props and Best Projections

As a team, the Grizzlies have been lousy at drawing fouls away from home: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling just 22.0 foul shot attempts per game.

On Saturday, February 21, 2026, the Sacramento Kings (12-45) will clash with the San Antonio Spurs (39-17) at the Moody Center. Scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, this matchup features the Spurs as overwhelming favorites, with a current spread of Spurs -18.0 and a moneyline of -1700, compared to the Kings' moneyline of +1000, highlighting Sacramento's steep uphill battle. . The Spurs enter this game riding a hot streak, having won 7 consecutive games, while the Kings are in dire straits, on a 15-game losing skid, most recently falling to the Orlando Magic 131-94. San Antonio's dominant form contrasts sharply with Sacramento's struggles, which is reflected in their respective implied win probabilities: the Kings sit at 9%, while the Spurs boast a robust 91% chance to emerge victorious.. For bettors interested in player prop markets, Keegan Murray's Points and Rebounds have caught the eye, becoming the most popular betting market for this game. Currently priced at Over 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-110), sharp bettors are leaning into the Over, suggesting they believe the line may offer value.. With the Kings' defense yielding significant points during their losing streak and the Spurs demonstrating offensive prowess, this game sets up as a compelling watch for both fans and bettors. Expect San Antonio to leverage its home advantage and continue their winning momentum against a struggling Sacramento squad.

The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league this year.. The Heat have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.. The Grizzlies have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year has been the Detroit Pistons.. The Pistons have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 2.3 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, marking this as a favorable matchup.. The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the league).

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Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.7 offensive boards per game this year.

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 22.5 points per game over the last 8 games when playing at home, 4.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home.. The San Antonio Spurs rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.7 offensive boards per game this year.

The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league this year.. The Heat have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.. The Grizzlies have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The Detroit Pistons, boasting a strong record of 41-13, face off against the Chicago Bulls, who sit at 24-32, in what promises to be an engaging Saturday night matchup. This rivalry has a rich history in the league, and both teams will undoubtedly bring extra motivation to the court on February 21, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET, held at the United Center in Chicago.. Oddsmakers have made the Pistons significant favorites, currently listed at -10.5 on the spread, with a moneyline of -520, giving them an implied win probability of 81%. In stark contrast, the Bulls, struggling with a seven-game losing streak, are set at +410 on the moneyline, reflecting a mere 19% chance of victory. Recent performances highlight this disparity, as the Pistons have won 39 of their last 50 games, including a decisive 126-111 victory against the New York Knicks in their last outing. Conversely, the Bulls fell short against the Toronto Raptors, losing 110-101 in their previous game.. For those looking to place bets on player props, Anfernee Simons's Points, Rebounds, and Assists market has emerged as a popular option, with the prop total shifting from Under 24.5 to Under 22.5. Sharp bettors appear to be leaning towards the Under, indicating a potential trend worth monitoring.. As these two teams prepare to clash, the Pistons will aim to extend their winning ways, while the Bulls will be desperate to turn their fortunes around in front of their home crowd. This matchup not only holds playoff implications but also rekindles a storied rivalry, making it a must-watch for fans and bettors alike.

The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.7 offensive boards per game this year.. The matchup vs. the Knicks is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the league).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Sacramento Kings.. The Kings check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league this year.. The Heat have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.. The Grizzlies have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks.. The Knicks are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets).

The Bulls have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Sacramento Kings.. The Kings check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

On February 21, 2026, the Memphis Grizzlies (21-33) will face off against the Miami Heat (30-27) at Kaseya Center, with the game set to tip off at 8:00 PM ET. Both teams are coming off back-to-back games, which could impact their performance. The Grizzlies played yesterday, securing a 123-114 victory over the Utah Jazz, but their recent form has been concerning, having lost 31 of their last 50 contests. . Conversely, the Heat also played yesterday, defeating the Atlanta Hawks 128-97, but they have struggled at home, losing 4 of their last 5 games at Kaseya Center. Despite these challenges, Miami enters this matchup as a significant favorite, with a spread of Heat -11.5 and a moneyline of -550, giving them an implied win probability of 82%. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies sit at +430 on the moneyline, reflecting an 18% chance of victory.. For those looking to wager on player props, Andrew Wiggins's Points, Rebounds, and Assists market has gained traction, with the prop total shifting from Under 24.5 to Under 23.5. Sharp bettors seem to be leaning towards the Under, indicating a belief that Wiggins may struggle to hit those numbers against Miami's defense.. As both teams navigate the challenges of back-to-back games, the Grizzlies will need to find a way to overcome their fatigue and recent struggles if they hope to pull off an upset against a Heat squad that is eager to improve their home record.

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Knicks.. The Knicks are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Houston Rockets).. In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the New York Knicks's poor 21.1 free throws per game at home ranks 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games.. The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are the visiting team (2nd-least in the league).

The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Sacramento Kings.. The Kings check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.. The matchup vs. Detroit is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Pistons are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (45.0%).. The Bulls have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 2nd-best in in the NBA at home with 14.1 offensive boards per game this year.. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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The Bulls have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.. The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.7 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Bulls.. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

The Pistons have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

When it comes to scoring, the Kings's lackluster 110.1 points per game comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year.. The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a hard one for field goals; the other team's starting SFs have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (36.0%).. The Kings have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.

The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league this year.. The Heat have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.. The Grizzlies have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The Houston Rockets and the New York Knicks are set to clash in a highly anticipated matchup on February 21, 2026, at 8:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden. Both teams have shown a strong performance recently, each winning 32 of their last 50 games. However, the Knicks enter this contest as slight favorites, currently holding a spread of Knicks -3.5 and a moneyline of -160, indicating a 60% implied win probability. Meanwhile, the Rockets, with a moneyline of +140, have an implied win probability of 40%.. The Rockets are coming off a solid victory against the Charlotte Hornets, winning 105-101, which could provide them with positive momentum heading into this game. Conversely, the Knicks are looking to bounce back after a disappointing loss to the Detroit Pistons, where they fell 126-111. This recent performance could be a critical factor in how they approach the game against a competitive Rockets squad.. For those interested in player prop bets, Tari Eason’s Points and Rebounds have emerged as a popular market, with many bettors eager to capitalize on his performance. The current line for Eason is set at under 18.5 points and rebounds, priced at -120, with sharp bettors suggesting this may be mispriced.. With both teams vying for playoff positioning and pride, this matchup promises to be an intriguing battle. It will be essential for bettors to weigh recent performances and statistical trends as they consider their wagers for this Saturday night showdown.

The Chicago Bulls have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.. The Bulls have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league this year.. The Heat have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.. The Grizzlies have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

The Sacramento Kings have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.. The Kings have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.7 offensive boards per game this year.

The San Antonio Spurs rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the league) vs. the Kings, labeling this as a good matchup.. The Spurs have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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The Chicago Bulls have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).. The matchup vs. Chicago is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 5.1 free throws per game this year when the Chicago Bulls are on their home court (most in the league).

When it comes to scoring, the Kings's lackluster 110.1 points per game comes in as the 2nd-lowest in the league this year.. The Kings have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.

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Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank 2nd-best in in the NBA at home with 14.1 offensive boards per game this year.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's unimpressive 34.0% rate of drained threes rates 4th-weakest in the league over the last 15 games.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 37.4% on shots from the field (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Pistons, designating this as a tough matchup.. The Detroit Pistons have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Bulls.. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

The Bulls have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.