Final Dec 22
HOU 114 -9.0 o222.5
TOR 110 9.0 u222.5
Final Dec 22
IND 122 3.0 o234.5
SAC 95 -3.0 u234.5
Final OT Dec 22
DEN 132 -8.5 o231.0
NO 129 8.5 u231.0
Sacramento 3rd Western Conference48-34
Golden State 6th Western Conference44-38
ESPN, NBCSCA, NBCS - BA, TSN

Sacramento @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Kevon Looney has sunk a terrific 64.7% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit higher than his 57.8 rate last year. Kevon Looney has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's played overall this year. The matchup against the Kings is a good one for scoring; opposing starting Cs have posted the 28th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (62.2%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Warriors.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Kevon Looney has sunk a terrific 64.7% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit higher than his 57.8 rate last year. Kevon Looney has played 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 more than he's played overall this year. The matchup against the Kings is a good one for scoring; opposing starting Cs have posted the 28th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (62.2%). The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Warriors.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-103
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Under
-103
Projection Rating

The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (13th-least in the league). Malik Monk will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production for all stats.

Malik Monk

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Warriors may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (13th-least in the league). Malik Monk will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces player production for all stats.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has averaged a lowly 5.8 points per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.5 points per game last season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 14th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (41.4%). The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Davion Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player performance for all stats.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.4

Davion Mitchell has averaged a lowly 5.8 points per game this season, quite a bit less than his 11.5 points per game last season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 14th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (41.4%). The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Davion Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player performance for all stats.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production for all stats.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Domantas Sabonis has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Domantas Sabonis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production for all stats.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Andrew Wiggins has sunk 6.9 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has made 2.3 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (13.3). The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Andrew Wiggins has sunk 6.9 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has made 2.3 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league. Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The matchup vs. the Kings is a positive one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (13.3). The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
-103
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Under
-103
Projection Rating

The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Harrison Barnes will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance for all stats.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Harrison Barnes will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance for all stats.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Klay Thompson has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (87th percentile). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.5
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.5

Klay Thompson has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (87th percentile). As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).

Jordan Poole Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Poole
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-145
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Under
-145
Projection Rating

Jordan Poole has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).

Jordan Poole

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Jordan Poole has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls: worst in the league this year, tallying a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.7 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are the visiting squad (11th-least in the league).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

Keegan Murray has scored 16.0 points per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 4.4 higher than he's scored over the course of the year on the road. Keegan Murray has converted 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's made from three in all games this year when playing away from home. Keegan Murray has tallied 28.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 21st-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.9). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Keegan Murray has scored 16.0 points per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 4.4 higher than he's scored over the course of the year on the road. Keegan Murray has converted 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's made from three in all games this year when playing away from home. Keegan Murray has tallied 28.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 21st-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.9). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Kevin Huerter has attempted 6.7 three-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 5.5 mark last season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 27th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (14.8). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should boost possessions for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Kevin Huerter has attempted 6.7 three-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 5.5 mark last season. The matchup vs. Golden State is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 27th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (14.8). The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should boost possessions for the Kings. The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
31.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Kings have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.6
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.6

Stephen Curry has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Kings have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has played 31.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Kings have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Draymond Green has played 31.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 83rd percentile. The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Warriors. The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Kings have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Gary Payton II Points Scored Props • Golden State

G. Payton II
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
+105
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
+105

Donte DiVincenzo Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. DiVincenzo
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125

Alex Len Points Scored Props • Sacramento

A. Len
center C • Sacramento
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
-105
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
-130
Under
-105

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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