Miami @ Milwaukee picks

Max Strus has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (80th percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Bucks have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). Max Strus will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

The matchup vs. the Bucks is a challenging one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (41.9%). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Bucks have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Bucks is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the league).

Khris Middleton has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bucks. As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the league over the last 5 games while at home, averaging a lowly 15.6 free throws per game.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for field goals; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.7). The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home city, which should lead to decreased plays for the Bucks. As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the league over the last 5 games while at home, averaging a lowly 15.6 free throws per game. The matchup vs. Miami may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.1 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are the visiting squad (12th-least in the league).

Jae Crowder has made 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made overall this season. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Jae Crowder has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Gabe Vincent has scored 13.8 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 4.8 more than he's scored in all games this year on the road. Gabe Vincent has converted 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season on the road. The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing on the road this year when it comes to attempts from downtown. The Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Heat.