PHO -11.5 o231.0
WAS 11.5 u231.0
IND 1.5 o228.0
DET -1.5 u228.0
CLE 1.5 o233.0
OKC -1.5 u233.0
HOU 4.5 o224.5
SAC -4.5 u224.5
LAC -7.0 o220.5
POR 7.0 u220.5
Denver 1st Western Conference53-29
Minnesota 8th Western Conference42-40
TSN, BSN, ESPN, Altitude Sports

Denver @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile). The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (86th percentile). The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Rudy Gobert has converted 66.7% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Rudy Gobert has attempted 4.7 foul shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Rudy Gobert has converted 66.7% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Rudy Gobert has attempted 4.7 foul shots per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Under
-125

Jamal Murray has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Jamal Murray has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed overall this season. The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets. The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has successfully made 50.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 13.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Mike Conley has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has made 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 more than he's converted overall this season while at home.

Mike Conley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Mike Conley has successfully made 50.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 13.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Mike Conley has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year. The Nuggets have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Mike Conley has made 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 more than he's converted overall this season while at home.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Aaron Gordon has converted 57.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 22nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (35.5%). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.6 free throws per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last season. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

Aaron Gordon has converted 57.1% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 22nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (35.5%). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.6 free throws per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last season. The matchup against the Timberwolves is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.0 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Anthony Edwards has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (15.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Anthony Edwards has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs this year (15.1). The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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