PHO 3.5 o225.0
DET -3.5 u225.0
CHI 4.5 o219.5
CLE -4.5 u219.5
MIA 1.5 o216.5
CHA -1.5 u216.5
IND -1.5 o229.0
ATL 1.5 u229.0
BK 5.5 o218.5
LAC -5.5 u218.5
Miami 8th Eastern Conference44-38
New York 5th Eastern Conference47-35
TNT, TSN

Miami @ New York props

Madison Square Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • New York

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes has converted 2.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Heat are the visiting team (29th-most in the NBA).

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Quentin Grimes has converted 2.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a good one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 3.1 foul shots per game over the last 20 games when the Heat are the visiting team (29th-most in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile). This matchup is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 6th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.3). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile). This matchup is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing squads have totaled the 6th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.3). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. New York is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.1). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.

Kevin Love

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Kevin Love has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted in all games this year without the home court advantage. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. New York is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Knicks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.1). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • New York

J. Randle
power forward PF • New York
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22
Best Odds
Under
-115

The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against Miami is a difficult one for threes; when the Heat are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (26.0%). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the league).

Julius Randle

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22

The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup against Miami is a difficult one for threes; when the Heat are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (26.0%). The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Knicks. The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 free throws per game this year (9th-least in the league).

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Josh Hart has attempted 10.6 shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Josh Hart has tallied 29.8 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 21.2 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the NBA).

Josh Hart

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Josh Hart has attempted 10.6 shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Josh Hart has tallied 29.8 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 21.2 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the NBA).

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Mitchell Robinson has successfully made 68.0% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Mitchell Robinson will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production across the board.

Mitchell Robinson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Mitchell Robinson has successfully made 68.0% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson has attempted 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Mitchell Robinson will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production across the board.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup against New York is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 14th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (28.8%). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Caleb Martin has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup against New York is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 14th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (28.8%). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage. The Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.9
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has scored 35.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.5 higher than he's scored over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has made 60.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing away from home. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 41.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.9
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.9

Jimmy Butler has scored 35.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.5 higher than he's scored over the course of the year. Jimmy Butler has made 60.7% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.6% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing away from home. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 41.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jalen Brunson has attempted 20.2 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Brunson has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Brunson has converted 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Jalen Brunson has attempted 20.2 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Brunson has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Brunson has converted 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Gabe Vincent Points Scored Props • Miami

G. Vincent
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road. Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 7.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against New York is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Gabe Vincent has successfully made 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road. Gabe Vincent has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 7.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against New York is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has made 7.8 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Knicks are at home (28th-most in the league).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Bam Adebayo has made 7.8 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Knicks are at home (28th-most in the league).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Miami

M. Strus
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Max Strus has attempted 6.9 threes per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Knicks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.3). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Max Strus has converted an impressive 88.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 78.5 mark last season.

Max Strus

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Max Strus has attempted 6.9 threes per game this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. the Knicks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.3). The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Max Strus has converted an impressive 88.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 78.5 mark last season.

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • New York

R. Barrett
small forward SF • New York
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

RJ Barrett has converted 51.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.8% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing at home. RJ Barrett has converted 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. RJ Barrett has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one; when the Heat are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (17.0). The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

RJ Barrett has converted 51.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.8% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing at home. RJ Barrett has converted 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year. RJ Barrett has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile. The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one; when the Heat are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (17.0). The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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