Indiana 6th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
BSN

Indiana @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Obi Toppin Points Scored Props • Indiana

O. Toppin
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Obi Toppin has made a terrific 72.3% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 41.7 mark last year. Obi Toppin has tallied an impressive 24.8 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 14.9 minutes per game last year. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.2 three attempts per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Obi Toppin

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Obi Toppin has made a terrific 72.3% of his shots from the field this year, significantly higher than his 41.7 mark last year. Obi Toppin has tallied an impressive 24.8 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 14.9 minutes per game last year. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.2 three attempts per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Bennedict Mathurin Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Mathurin
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
+100

Bennedict Mathurin has been called for just 0.5 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 2.2 fouls per game last year. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, identifying this as a strong matchup. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).

Bennedict Mathurin

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Bennedict Mathurin has been called for just 0.5 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 2.2 fouls per game last year. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, identifying this as a strong matchup. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).

Buddy Hield Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Hield
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-120

In contrast to last season's 3.6 mark, Buddy Hield's three-pointers made have diminished this season to 2.8 per game. In contrast to last year's 30.5 clip, Buddy Hield's playing time has declined this year to 22.3 minutes per game. The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 81.3% rate, Buddy Hield's free-throw ability has been reduced this season to 50.0%.

Buddy Hield

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

In contrast to last season's 3.6 mark, Buddy Hield's three-pointers made have diminished this season to 2.8 per game. In contrast to last year's 30.5 clip, Buddy Hield's playing time has declined this year to 22.3 minutes per game. The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last season's 81.3% rate, Buddy Hield's free-throw ability has been reduced this season to 50.0%.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

This year, opposing teams have averaged 25.8 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making this a tough matchup. The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league as the visting team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. In contrast to last season's 73.2% rate, Onyeka Okongwu's foul-shot prowess has spiked this season to 100.0%.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

This year, opposing teams have averaged 25.8 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making this a tough matchup. The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league as the visting team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. In contrast to last season's 73.2% rate, Onyeka Okongwu's foul-shot prowess has spiked this season to 100.0%.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

This year, the other team's starting Cs have shot 39.6% on 3-pointers (21st-highest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, labeling this as a good matchup. The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league as the visting team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 6.7 free throws per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Pacers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Clint Capela

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

This year, the other team's starting Cs have shot 39.6% on 3-pointers (21st-highest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, labeling this as a good matchup. The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league as the visting team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 6.7 free throws per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Pacers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Jalen Smith Points Scored Props • Indiana

J. Smith
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Jalen Smith has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Smith will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

Jalen Smith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Jalen Smith has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled. The Indiana Pacers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Smith will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

In comparison to last season's 8.4 mark, Dejounte Murray's shots drained have increased this season to 9.2 per game. Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile. Among all players in the league, Dejounte Murray comes in at the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 1.4 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The matchup vs. Indiana is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Pacers are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (3.0). The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

In comparison to last season's 8.4 mark, Dejounte Murray's shots drained have increased this season to 9.2 per game. Dejounte Murray has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile. Among all players in the league, Dejounte Murray comes in at the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 1.4 fouls per game away from his home court this year. The matchup vs. Indiana is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Pacers are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (3.0). The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Under
+100

Relative to last season's 1.6 rate, Jalen Johnson's personal fouls per game have spiked this season to 2.3. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 2.3 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, branding this as a hard matchup. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has grabbed 14.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pacers (continuing possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). The matchup vs. Indiana is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 3.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Indiana Pacers are the visiting team (10th-least in the NBA).

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Relative to last season's 1.6 rate, Jalen Johnson's personal fouls per game have spiked this season to 2.3. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 2.3 3-point attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, branding this as a hard matchup. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has grabbed 14.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pacers (continuing possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). The matchup vs. Indiana is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 3.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Indiana Pacers are the visiting team (10th-least in the NBA).

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic lands in the 77th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for bricked shots when playing on the road, registering a massive 6.9 per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has grabbed 14.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pacers (continuing possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). This matchup is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Pacers are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 27.6 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league).

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Bogdan Bogdanovic lands in the 77th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for bricked shots when playing on the road, registering a massive 6.9 per game this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has grabbed 14.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pacers (continuing possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense). This matchup is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Pacers are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 27.6 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league).

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Brown
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks). Relative to last year's 75.7% rate, Bruce Brown's free-throw ability has surged this year to 87.5%.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks). Relative to last year's 75.7% rate, Bruce Brown's free-throw ability has surged this year to 87.5%.

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-115

In comparison to last year's 15.3 mark, De'Andre Hunter's points per game have increased this year to 15.0. The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league as the visting team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. De'Andre Hunter has made a whopping 2.7 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.2 rate last year.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

In comparison to last year's 15.3 mark, De'Andre Hunter's points per game have increased this year to 15.0. The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league as the visting team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. De'Andre Hunter has made a whopping 2.7 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.2 rate last year.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton ranks in the 95th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 3.2 per game this year. Tyrese Haliburton has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton places in the 6th percentile for personal fouls, posting just 0.8 fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 3.8 threes per game (29th-most in the league) against the Hawks, creating a strong matchup.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton ranks in the 95th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 3.2 per game this year. Tyrese Haliburton has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton places in the 6th percentile for personal fouls, posting just 0.8 fouls per game while on the road since the start of last season. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 3.8 threes per game (29th-most in the league) against the Hawks, creating a strong matchup.

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 6.3 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.8 rate last season. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.2 three attempts per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Aaron Nesmith has attempted 6.3 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.8 rate last season. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 5.2 three attempts per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, marking this as a good matchup. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks).

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Myles Turner has attempted 13.5 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 10.8 rate last season. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks). Myles Turner has sunk an impressive 91.7% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit more than his 72.4 rate last year.

Myles Turner

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Myles Turner has attempted 13.5 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 10.8 rate last season. The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year. The fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-fastest pace road offense in the NBA this year (the Hawks). Myles Turner has sunk an impressive 91.7% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit more than his 72.4 rate last year.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league as the visting team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Trae Young has attempted 9.8 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 8.6 rate last year.

Trae Young

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

Among all players in the NBA, Trae Young lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The 6th-speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks. The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in plays today from being pitted against the fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league as the visting team with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game this year. Trae Young has attempted 9.8 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 8.6 rate last year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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