Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
New York 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE50-32
ESPN, NBALP

Miami @ New York props

Madison Square Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
+100

Jimmy Butler has sunk just 6.4 shots made from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.0 mark last year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have logged 9.6 points per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance. The slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Jimmy Butler has sunk just 6.4 shots made from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.0 mark last year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have logged 9.6 points per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance. The slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has attempted 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 mark last year. Haywood Highsmith has averaged a terrific 26.4 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 15.9 minutes per game last year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 51.8% rate, Haywood Highsmith's foul-shot effectiveness has surged this year to 90.5%.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Haywood Highsmith has attempted 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 mark last year. Haywood Highsmith has averaged a terrific 26.4 minutes per game this year, significantly higher than his 15.9 minutes per game last year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 51.8% rate, Haywood Highsmith's foul-shot effectiveness has surged this year to 90.5%.

Josh Richardson Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Richardson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Josh Richardson has shot and missed 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's missed overall this season when playing on the road. The slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad (7th-least in the league).

Josh Richardson

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Josh Richardson has shot and missed 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's missed overall this season when playing on the road. The slowest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against New York may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad (7th-least in the league).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • New York

J. Randle
power forward PF • New York
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In comparison to last season's 0.1 clip, Julius Randle's technical fouls have diminished this season to 0.0 per game. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Heat have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Julius Randle ought to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Julius Randle

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle rates in the 85th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 32.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In comparison to last season's 0.1 clip, Julius Randle's technical fouls have diminished this season to 0.0 per game. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Heat have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Julius Randle ought to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-101
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-101
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. rates in the 77th percentile for field goal efficiency while at home with a an exceptional 51.9% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. comes in at the 91st percentile for three-point effectiveness while playing away from home with a a superb 45.9% rate this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 17.2 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Among all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. rates in the 77th percentile for field goal efficiency while at home with a an exceptional 51.9% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaime Jaquez Jr. comes in at the 91st percentile for three-point effectiveness while playing away from home with a a superb 45.9% rate this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 17.2 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

Josh Hart Points Scored Props • New York

J. Hart
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 2.9 mark, Josh Hart's personal fouls per game have diminished this year to 1.0. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Heat have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted 18.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Josh Hart figures to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Josh Hart

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Relative to last year's 2.9 mark, Josh Hart's personal fouls per game have diminished this year to 1.0. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Heat have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted 18.6 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the foul line. Josh Hart figures to get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • New York

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Immanuel Quickley has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Knicks have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. This matchup is a good one for threes; opposing squads have tallied the 4th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (14.4). The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Immanuel Quickley has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Knicks have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. This matchup is a good one for threes; opposing squads have tallied the 4th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (14.4). The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

Mitchell Robinson Points Scored Props • New York

M. Robinson
center C • New York
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Heat have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Mitchell Robinson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Heat have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Mitchell Robinson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 17.2 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a lowly 17.2 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the league).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-109

In comparison to last season's 1.9 rate, Kyle Lowry's 3-point shots scored have jumped this season to 2.8 per game. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

In comparison to last season's 1.9 rate, Kyle Lowry's 3-point shots scored have jumped this season to 2.8 per game. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • New York

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • New York
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Under
-108

Quentin Grimes has been on the court for a lowly 24.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 29.0 minutes per game last season. The Knicks have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (12.5). The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Quentin Grimes has been on the court for a lowly 24.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 29.0 minutes per game last season. The Knicks have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the away team this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a difficult one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (12.5). The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year. The Knicks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

In comparison to last season's 20.2 clip, Bam Adebayo's points per game have risen this season to 24.3. Relative to last season's 7.1% mark, Bam Adebayo's 3-point performance has risen this season to 50.0%. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

In comparison to last season's 20.2 clip, Bam Adebayo's points per game have risen this season to 24.3. Relative to last season's 7.1% mark, Bam Adebayo's 3-point performance has risen this season to 50.0%. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.9 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year. The New York Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • New York

R. Barrett
small forward SF • New York
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Over
-130

Relative to last year's 20.6 clip, RJ Barrett's points per game have increased this year to 24.5. Relative to last season's 1.8 clip, RJ Barrett's three-point shots made have jumped this season to 3.3 per game. RJ Barrett has averaged a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 34.3 minutes per game last year. Relative to last year's 2.8 clip, RJ Barrett's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 1.0. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

Relative to last year's 20.6 clip, RJ Barrett's points per game have increased this year to 24.5. Relative to last season's 1.8 clip, RJ Barrett's three-point shots made have jumped this season to 3.3 per game. RJ Barrett has averaged a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year, a big improvement over his 34.3 minutes per game last year. Relative to last year's 2.8 clip, RJ Barrett's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 1.0. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Brunson Points Scored Props • New York

J. Brunson
point guard PG • New York
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jalen Brunson has made a terrific 3.2 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.0 mark last season. Jalen Brunson has played 32.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 47.8% on shots from the field (26th-best in the league) against the Heat, making this a good matchup. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Heat have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jalen Brunson

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.6

Jalen Brunson has made a terrific 3.2 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.0 mark last season. Jalen Brunson has played 32.6 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 47.8% on shots from the field (26th-best in the league) against the Heat, making this a good matchup. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). At home, the Heat have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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