Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
NBALP

Sacramento @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 10.1 mark, Naz Reid's points per game have spiked this season to 14.7. In contrast to last season's 53.5% mark, Naz Reid's shooting performance has surged this season to 54.7%. Naz Reid has committed a mere 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 2.6 fouls per game last year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

In comparison to last season's 10.1 mark, Naz Reid's points per game have spiked this season to 14.7. In contrast to last season's 53.5% mark, Naz Reid's shooting performance has surged this season to 54.7%. Naz Reid has committed a mere 1.4 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 2.6 fouls per game last year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made a measly 36.1% of his 3-point attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 28.3 rate last year. The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for scoring; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least buckets per game in the league this year (4.7). The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made a measly 36.1% of his 3-point attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 28.3 rate last year. The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for scoring; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least buckets per game in the league this year (4.7). The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting Cs have attempted just 2.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
+100

Rudy Gobert has made 81.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's made overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). While at home, the Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Rudy Gobert has made 81.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's made overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert rates in the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). While at home, the Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Malik Monk lands in the 86th percentile for three-point attempts on his home court, averaging 6.0 per game this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. This year when they are on the road, the other team has totaled 97.6 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Malik Monk has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 9.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home.

Malik Monk

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Among all players in the league, Malik Monk lands in the 86th percentile for three-point attempts on his home court, averaging 6.0 per game this year. The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. This year when they are on the road, the other team has totaled 97.6 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive output. The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Malik Monk has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 9.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 4.6 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.1 fouls per game last season. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 1.1 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Kings, labeling this as a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 4.6 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.1 fouls per game last season. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 1.1 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Kings, labeling this as a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has successfully made a terrific 60.4% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a big improvement over his 52.4 mark last season. Kyle Anderson has sunk an impressive 50.0% of his three-point shots this season, significantly higher than his 36.6 mark last season. Kyle Anderson has been called for 1.4 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Kyle Anderson has successfully made a terrific 60.4% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a big improvement over his 52.4 mark last season. Kyle Anderson has sunk an impressive 50.0% of his three-point shots this season, significantly higher than his 36.6 mark last season. Kyle Anderson has been called for 1.4 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Kevin Huerter has converted a whopping 78.6% of his foul shots this season, significantly higher than his 69.7 rate last season.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. Kevin Huerter has converted a whopping 78.6% of his foul shots this season, significantly higher than his 69.7 rate last season.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 16.1 mark, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's playing time has risen this year to 20.8 minutes per game. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a positive one; when the Kings are at home, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (17.4). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). While at home, the Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Relative to last year's 16.1 mark, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's playing time has risen this year to 20.8 minutes per game. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a positive one; when the Kings are at home, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (17.4). The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). While at home, the Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.8
Best Odds
Under
-112

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (31.8%). The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a positive one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted an enormous 25.7 foul shots per game since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NBA). De'Aaron Fox will likely experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.8

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for scoring; the other team's starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (31.8%). The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a positive one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted an enormous 25.7 foul shots per game since the start of last season (3rd-most in the NBA). De'Aaron Fox will likely experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.3
Best Odds
Under
-104

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 87th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; when the Kings are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 12th-least shot attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.6). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.3

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 87th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game this year. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; when the Kings are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 12th-least shot attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.6). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Chris Duarte Points Scored Props • Sacramento

C. Duarte
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 25.0% rate, Chris Duarte's 3-point ability has risen this season to 52.1%. The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. In contrast to last year's 85.3% clip, Chris Duarte's foul-shot prowess has risen this year to 83.3%. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Chris Duarte

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Compared to last season's 25.0% rate, Chris Duarte's 3-point ability has risen this season to 52.1%. The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. In contrast to last year's 85.3% clip, Chris Duarte's foul-shot prowess has risen this year to 83.3%. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-102

Harrison Barnes has notched an impressive 14.8 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 14.0 points per game last season. In comparison to last season's 1.5 mark, Harrison Barnes's threes drained have surged this season to 2.7 per game. Harrison Barnes has tallied 30.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Harrison Barnes has notched an impressive 14.8 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 14.0 points per game last season. In comparison to last season's 1.5 mark, Harrison Barnes's threes drained have surged this season to 2.7 per game. Harrison Barnes has tallied 30.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court. The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 35.3% rate, Mike Conley's three-point effectiveness has surged this season to 52.5%. Mike Conley has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 14 games while playing away from home, 6.0 more than he's played over the course of the year on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). While at home, the Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

In contrast to last season's 35.3% rate, Mike Conley's three-point effectiveness has surged this season to 52.5%. Mike Conley has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 14 games while playing away from home, 6.0 more than he's played over the course of the year on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). While at home, the Kings have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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