Milwaukee 3rd EASTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36

Milwaukee @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has been on the court for 16.4 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.1 points per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The slowest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Kevin Love

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Kevin Love has been on the court for 16.4 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 25th percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the league. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 14.1 points per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The slowest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Malik Beasley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

M. Beasley
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 2.6 rate, Malik Beasley's threes scored have spiked this season to 3.6 per game. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 17.6 points per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, making this a favorable matchup for offensive production. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Malik Beasley

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Relative to last season's 2.6 rate, Malik Beasley's threes scored have spiked this season to 3.6 per game. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have posted 17.6 points per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Heat, making this a favorable matchup for offensive production. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Pat Connaughton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Connaughton
shooting guard SG • Milwaukee
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 38.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 9.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road. Pat Connaughton has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 12th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Pat Connaughton

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 38.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 9.9% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road. Pat Connaughton has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 12th percentile -- among the NBA's lowest-fouling. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
+100

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense). Brook Lopez has sunk 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made overall this season.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense). Brook Lopez has sunk 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made overall this season.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 5.9 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 71.7% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 26.3% more than he's converted from three overall this season while playing away from home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 30.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games at home, 5.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 5.9 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 71.7% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 26.3% more than he's converted from three overall this season while playing away from home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 30.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games at home, 5.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Under
-122

The slowest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

The slowest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.5
Best Odds
Over
-104

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 92nd percentile for shots converted without the home court advantage, registering an enormous 8.3 per game this year. In contrast to last year's 0.0% rate, Bam Adebayo's three-point prowess has risen this year to 100.0%. Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.5
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo places in the 92nd percentile for shots converted without the home court advantage, registering an enormous 8.3 per game this year. In contrast to last year's 0.0% rate, Bam Adebayo's three-point prowess has risen this year to 100.0%. Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 12.8 rate, Khris Middleton's shots from the field have surged this season to 10.9 per game. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Miami Heat are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 24th-highest three rate in the league this year (40.7%). The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Khris Middleton

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

In contrast to last season's 12.8 rate, Khris Middleton's shots from the field have surged this season to 10.9 per game. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Miami Heat are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 24th-highest three rate in the league this year (40.7%). The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Bobby Portis has successfully made a terrific 31.9% of his 3-point attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 35.2 mark last season. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 19.2 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Bobby Portis has successfully made a terrific 31.9% of his 3-point attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 35.2 mark last season. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense). The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a mere 19.2 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+100

Kyle Lowry has sunk an impressive 44.1% of his 3-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 35.4 rate last year. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat. Kyle Lowry will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance across the board.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Kyle Lowry has sunk an impressive 44.1% of his 3-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 35.4 rate last year. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat. Kyle Lowry will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player performance across the board.

Josh Richardson Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Richardson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Josh Richardson has made 37.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.7% lower than he's put through the net in all games this year. Josh Richardson has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up. The slowest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Josh Richardson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Josh Richardson has made 37.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 5.7% lower than he's put through the net in all games this year. Josh Richardson has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up. The slowest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the league as the away team with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have nabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat. Caleb Martin has converted 83.1% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a mere 20.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the league). Caleb Martin will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production for all stats.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat. Caleb Martin has converted 83.1% of his foul shot attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a mere 20.4 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the league). Caleb Martin will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production for all stats.

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-114

Compared to last year's 32.2 clip, Damian Lillard's points per game have decreased this year to 25.6. In contrast to last season's 11.3 mark, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have regressed this season to 8.7 per game. The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one; when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs since the start of last season (14.7). The Bucks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

Compared to last year's 32.2 clip, Damian Lillard's points per game have decreased this year to 25.6. In contrast to last season's 11.3 mark, Damian Lillard's shots from behind the three-point arc have regressed this season to 8.7 per game. The matchup vs. Miami is a hard one; when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs since the start of last season (14.7). The Bucks are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made a terrific 52.1% of his field goals this season, significantly higher than his 41.8 mark last season. Relative to last season's 15.2 mark, Haywood Highsmith's playing time has spiked this season to 23.8 minutes per game. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat. Relative to last season's 55.0% clip, Haywood Highsmith's free-throw proficiency has jumped this season to 100.0%.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Haywood Highsmith has successfully made a terrific 52.1% of his field goals this season, significantly higher than his 41.8 mark last season. Relative to last season's 15.2 mark, Haywood Highsmith's playing time has spiked this season to 23.8 minutes per game. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Miami Heat. Relative to last season's 55.0% clip, Haywood Highsmith's free-throw proficiency has jumped this season to 100.0%.

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

G. Antetokounmpo
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30
Best Odds
Over
-115

Giannis Antetokounmpo has registered 33.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's registered overall this season. Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 33.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (25th-most in the league) against the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30

Giannis Antetokounmpo has registered 33.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 more than he's registered overall this season. Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 33.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year. Since the start of last season when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (25th-most in the league) against the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup. The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Bucks.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has compiled a whopping 24.6 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 25.2 points per game last season. Relative to last season's 31.6% mark, Jimmy Butler's 3-point effectiveness has risen this season to 42.6%. Jimmy Butler has played 32.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a strong one; when the Bucks are away from home, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (19.6).

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Jimmy Butler has compiled a whopping 24.6 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 25.2 points per game last season. Relative to last season's 31.6% mark, Jimmy Butler's 3-point effectiveness has risen this season to 42.6%. Jimmy Butler has played 32.8 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. As it relates to shots from downtown, the Heat's stellar 38.0% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year. The matchup against Milwaukee is a strong one; when the Bucks are away from home, they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (19.6).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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