Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Houston @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 0.4 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-pointers made have jumped this year to 1.4 per game. Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged an impressive 21.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 13.2 minutes per game last year. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

Compared to last year's 0.4 mark, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-pointers made have jumped this year to 1.4 per game. Derrick Jones Jr. has averaged an impressive 21.1 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 13.2 minutes per game last year. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-125

Kyrie Irving has attempted a lowly 7.2 treys per game this year, significantly less than his 8.3 rate last year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 10.2 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive production. The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 8thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year. Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Kyrie Irving has attempted a lowly 7.2 treys per game this year, significantly less than his 8.3 rate last year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have scored 10.2 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive production. The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 8thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year. Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-127

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 36.9 minutes per game this year. Fred VanVleet has been called for just 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 2.8 fouls per game last year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (27th-most in the league).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 100th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 36.9 minutes per game this year. Fred VanVleet has been called for just 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 2.8 fouls per game last year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (27th-most in the league).

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
-106

In contrast to last year's 3.2 clip, Alperen Sengun's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 4.4. The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA on their home court this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). When playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Alperen Sengun has made a lowly 48.7% of his free throws this season, significantly less than his 66.8 mark last season.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

In contrast to last year's 3.2 clip, Alperen Sengun's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 4.4. The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA on their home court this year. The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). When playing on the road, the Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (14.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Alperen Sengun has made a lowly 48.7% of his free throws this season, significantly less than his 66.8 mark last season.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-105

Compared to last year's 5.6 mark, Grant Williams's shots taken have risen this year to 7.8 per game. Grant Williams has made a terrific 2.5 treys per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.4 rate last year. Grant Williams has been on the court for a terrific 29.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 24.1 minutes per game last season. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Grant Williams

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Compared to last year's 5.6 mark, Grant Williams's shots taken have risen this year to 7.8 per game. Grant Williams has made a terrific 2.5 treys per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.4 rate last year. Grant Williams has been on the court for a terrific 29.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 24.1 minutes per game last season. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.9
Best Odds
Over
-106

Jalen Green has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.7 threes per game (25th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, creating a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. Jalen Green has attempted 4.4 free throws per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.3 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (21st-most in the league).

Jalen Green

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.9

Jalen Green has tallied 30.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 2.7 threes per game (25th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, creating a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. Jalen Green has attempted 4.4 free throws per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.3 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Mavericks are the visiting squad (21st-most in the league).

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

Josh Green has made a measly 31.7% of his shots from the field this year, a significant dropoff from his 58.5 mark last year. The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 8thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year. Josh Green has successfully made a mere 33.3% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 65.0 rate last season.

Josh Green

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Josh Green has made a measly 31.7% of his shots from the field this year, a significant dropoff from his 58.5 mark last year. The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 8thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year. Josh Green has successfully made a mere 33.3% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 65.0 rate last season.

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

This matchup is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged the 2nd-least treys per game in the NBA against them since the start of last season (11.0). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. In comparison to last season's 77.1% mark, Jae'Sean Tate's free-throw prowess has jumped this season to 100.0%.

Jae'Sean Tate

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

This matchup is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged the 2nd-least treys per game in the NBA against them since the start of last season (11.0). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. In comparison to last season's 77.1% mark, Jae'Sean Tate's free-throw prowess has jumped this season to 100.0%.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made a terrific 3.8 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.0 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. measures in the 10th percentile for personal fouls, posting only 0.8 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.8

Tim Hardaway Jr. has successfully made a terrific 3.8 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.0 rate last season. Among all players in the NBA, Tim Hardaway Jr. measures in the 10th percentile for personal fouls, posting only 0.8 fouls per game while playing on the road this year. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense).

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Tari Eason has made 58.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 9.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court. This matchup is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged the 2nd-least treys per game in the NBA against them since the start of last season (11.0). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Tari Eason

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Tari Eason has made 58.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 9.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the season away from his home court. This matchup is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged the 2nd-least treys per game in the NBA against them since the start of last season (11.0). The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 11.7 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s shots from the field have jumped this season to 11.8 per game. Relative to last season's 28.1% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s 3-point performance has risen this season to 37.4%. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.4 shot attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 2.0 free throws per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.5 rate last year.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

In contrast to last season's 11.7 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s shots from the field have jumped this season to 11.8 per game. Relative to last season's 28.1% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s 3-point performance has risen this season to 37.4%. This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 16.4 shot attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, making this a strong matchup. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 2.0 free throws per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.5 rate last year.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile, tallying a colossal 30.5 points per game away from his home court this year. Luka Doncic has attempted 9.7 three-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.2 rate last year. In contrast to last season's 2.5 clip, Luka Doncic's personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 1.8. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic slots into the 99th percentile, tallying a colossal 30.5 points per game away from his home court this year. Luka Doncic has attempted 9.7 three-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.2 rate last year. In contrast to last season's 2.5 clip, Luka Doncic's personal fouls per game have tailed off this season to 1.8. The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Compared to last season's 13.6 rate, Dillon Brooks's shots from the field have increased this season to 12.0 per game. In contrast to last season's 1.9 rate, Dillon Brooks's three-point shots scored have spiked this season to 2.6 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 30.7 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.2 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad (28th-most in the NBA).

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Compared to last season's 13.6 rate, Dillon Brooks's shots from the field have increased this season to 12.0 per game. In contrast to last season's 1.9 rate, Dillon Brooks's three-point shots scored have spiked this season to 2.6 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 30.7 minutes per game while on the road this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Houston Rockets. The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.2 free throws per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad (28th-most in the NBA).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense). Dereck Lively II has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 32.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court. The matchup against Houston is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Rockets are at home (22nd-most in the league).

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

The Mavericks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The 6th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have nabbed 10.6 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark bonus opportunities for offense). Dereck Lively II has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 32.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court. The matchup against Houston is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Rockets are at home (22nd-most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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