Detroit @ Miami props

In contrast to his full-year rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) per [AWAY_ROAD] game, Caleb Martin's threes converted have surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER]. Caleb Martin has played 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's played in all games this year on the road. In terms of treys, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.0% rate of successful threes away from their home court places 4th-strongest in the league over the last 25 games. This matchup is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Pistons are on their home court, the other team has shot for the 3rd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (34.6%). In comparison to last year's 72.6% mark, Caleb Martin's foul-shot ability has risen this year to 82.5%.

Kyle Lowry has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home. The most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pistons). The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

In contrast to his full-year rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)% in [AWAY_ROAD] games, Jalen Duren's ability has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 10 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER]. Jalen Duren has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Compared to last year's 16.1 mark, Cade Cunningham's field goal attempts have risen this year to 18.7 per game. Cade Cunningham has played 31.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 83rd percentile. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

In comparison to his full-year rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) per home game, Jaden Ivey's shots from the field have jumped by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games playing at home. Jaden Ivey has attempted 7.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Jaden Ivey has played 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's played in all games this season. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Stewart has attempted 4.1 three-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.7 mark last year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Isaiah Stewart has attempted 3.0 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.5 mark last season. The matchup against Miami may be a good one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.3 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Heat are at home (27th-most in the league).

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have notched 17.6 points per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a good matchup for offensive output. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (27th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.8 field goals per game this season, a significant increase from his 12.2 mark last season. Compared to his full-year mark of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Bam Adebayo's playing time has spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games minutes per game. In terms of treys, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.0% rate of successful threes away from their home court places 4th-strongest in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pistons, finding it easy to draw fouls. Bam Adebayo stands to see an increase in efficiency across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

The most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat. The Heat will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pistons). The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have grabbed 11.0 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (maintaining possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

Out of all players in the league, Marvin Bagley III lands in the 75th percentile for shots from the field drained away from home, posting a massive 4.8 per game this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 67.2% mark, Marvin Bagley III's foul-shot effectiveness has spiked this season to 79.9%. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a mere 20.5 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the league).

Tyler Herro has made 51.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% more than he's sunk overall this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 7.9 three-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 6.3 rate last season. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 90th percentile. In terms of treys, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.0% rate of successful threes away from their home court places 4th-strongest in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Detroit is a favorable one; when the Pistons have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.0).