Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46
BSN, NBALP

Miami @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Under
-129

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.8 fouls per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have shot 38.3% on shots from the field (13th-worst in the league) vs. the Hawks, designating this as a tough matchup. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). The matchup vs. Atlanta is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.4 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Hawks are on their home court (8th-least in the league).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry places in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.8 fouls per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have shot 38.3% on shots from the field (13th-worst in the league) vs. the Hawks, designating this as a tough matchup. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). The matchup vs. Atlanta is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.4 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Hawks are on their home court (8th-least in the league).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
19.3
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Duncan Robinson has converted an impressive 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.7 mark last season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.6% rate of sunk threes ranks 4th-strongest in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.3

Duncan Robinson has converted an impressive 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.7 mark last season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.6% rate of sunk threes ranks 4th-strongest in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 92nd percentile for field goals sunk while on the road, logging a whopping 7.8 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.6% rate of sunk threes ranks 4th-strongest in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo slots into the 92nd percentile for field goals sunk while on the road, logging a whopping 7.8 per game since the start of last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 34.7 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season. In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Miami Heat's remarkable 38.6% rate of sunk threes ranks 4th-strongest in the NBA this year. The 9th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 66.0% of his shots from the field while on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Onyeka Okongwu has converted 66.0% of his shots from the field while on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has totaled 4.4 points per game playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 17th percentile -- near the bottom of the league by this metric. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Among all players in the league, Haywood Highsmith measures in the 5th percentile for free throws hit away from home, averaging a measly 0.3 per game since the start of last season. The matchup against the Hawks is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game since the start of last season (14th-least in the NBA).

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.8

Haywood Highsmith has totaled 4.4 points per game playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 17th percentile -- near the bottom of the league by this metric. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Among all players in the league, Haywood Highsmith measures in the 5th percentile for free throws hit away from home, averaging a measly 0.3 per game since the start of last season. The matchup against the Hawks is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game since the start of last season (14th-least in the NBA).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
-110

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been called for 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (81st percentile). The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been called for 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (81st percentile). The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

Josh Richardson Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Richardson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Josh Richardson has shot and missed 2.8 3-pointers per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 76th percentile for misses at home. Josh Richardson has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (81st percentile). The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Josh Richardson should suffer a drop-off in output across the board in light of playing away from hom in this game.

Josh Richardson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Josh Richardson has shot and missed 2.8 3-pointers per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 76th percentile for misses at home. Josh Richardson has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (81st percentile). The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Josh Richardson should suffer a drop-off in output across the board in light of playing away from hom in this game.

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-105

The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense). Clint Capela has made a whopping 71.9% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit more than his 61.8 rate last season.

Clint Capela

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense). Clint Capela has made a whopping 71.9% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit more than his 61.8 rate last season.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Under
-127

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Under
-115

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 3.0 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Hawks, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Atlanta Hawks are the visiting team (6th-least in the league). Jimmy Butler stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from hom in this game.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 3.0 three attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Hawks, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can generate further chances for offense). The matchup vs. Atlanta is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Atlanta Hawks are the visiting team (6th-least in the league). Jimmy Butler stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from hom in this game.

Jalen Johnson Points Scored Props • Atlanta

J. Johnson
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jalen Johnson has made a terrific 60.7% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 49.6 mark last year. Jalen Johnson has successfully made a whopping 1.0 threes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.4 mark last year. Jalen Johnson has tallied a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 14.0 minutes per game last season. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Jalen Johnson

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Jalen Johnson has made a terrific 60.7% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 49.6 mark last year. Jalen Johnson has successfully made a whopping 1.0 threes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.4 mark last year. Jalen Johnson has tallied a whopping 29.6 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 14.0 minutes per game last season. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense). This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to draw fouls.

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense). This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted 19.6 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making it tough to draw fouls.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Over
-115

Trae Young has averaged 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Trae Young

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Trae Young has averaged 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}. The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter registers in the 83rd percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.5 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Heat are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.5). The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Among all players in the NBA, De'Andre Hunter registers in the 83rd percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.1 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 29.5 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Heat are at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (5.5). The Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should boost opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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