Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
NBALP

Minnesota @ Phoenix props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. Jusuf Nurkic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. Jusuf Nurkic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Drew Eubanks Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Eubanks
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing clubs this year (102.9). The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have attempted 19.4 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Drew Eubanks figures to get a boost in performance in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Drew Eubanks

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing clubs this year (102.9). The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have attempted 19.4 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Drew Eubanks figures to get a boost in performance in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.5
Best Odds
Under
-120

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have averaged 48.3% on field goals (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, branding this as a strong matchup. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 3.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a hard matchup. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 free throws per game this year when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad (12th-least in the NBA).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.5

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have averaged 48.3% on field goals (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, branding this as a strong matchup. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 3.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a hard matchup. The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 free throws per game this year when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad (12th-least in the NBA).

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-109

Among all players in the NBA, Devin Booker measures in the 99th percentile for shots from the field sunk, posting a massive 10.5 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Devin Booker rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. Among all players in the league, Devin Booker comes in at the 96th percentile for foul shots made, putting up a colossal 5.6 per game since the start of last season.

Devin Booker

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Among all players in the NBA, Devin Booker measures in the 99th percentile for shots from the field sunk, posting a massive 10.5 per game since the start of last season. Among all players in the NBA, Devin Booker rates in the 97th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. Among all players in the league, Devin Booker comes in at the 96th percentile for foul shots made, putting up a colossal 5.6 per game since the start of last season.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-107
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-107
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made a whopping 46.7% of his 3-pointers this season, quite a bit more than his 36.8 rate last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense). Compared to last year's 82.8% clip, Mike Conley's free-throw proficiency has jumped this year to 100.0%.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Mike Conley has made a whopping 46.7% of his 3-pointers this season, quite a bit more than his 36.8 rate last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense). Compared to last year's 82.8% clip, Mike Conley's free-throw proficiency has jumped this year to 100.0%.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.1
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 10.2 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.1
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.1

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 10.2 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency. The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making it tough to draw fouls.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (24th-most in the league) vs. the Suns, labeling this as a good matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (24th-most in the league) vs. the Suns, labeling this as a good matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense).

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-102

Bradley Beal has logged 22.9 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile. Bradley Beal has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 three attempts per game (22nd-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a strong matchup. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Bradley Beal has logged 22.9 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 93rd percentile. Bradley Beal has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 three attempts per game (22nd-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a strong matchup. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Under
-125

The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Karl-Anthony Towns will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production across the board.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Karl-Anthony Towns will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases stat production across the board.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted a terrific 1.9 3-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 1.1 mark last year. Naz Reid has tallied a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.6 fouls per game last year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense).

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Naz Reid has converted a terrific 1.9 3-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 1.1 mark last year. Naz Reid has tallied a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, significantly lower than his 2.6 fouls per game last year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
+100

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.7 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.7 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense). Rudy Gobert has attempted 7.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has successfully made a whopping 62.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant increase from his 52.4 mark last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense).

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Kyle Anderson has successfully made a whopping 62.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant increase from his 52.4 mark last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has nabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Suns (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate bonus opportunities for offense).

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Grayson Allen has successfully made a terrific 2.7 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.1 mark last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 three attempts per game (22nd-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a strong matchup. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. Grayson Allen has converted an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 89.3 rate last year.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Grayson Allen has successfully made a terrific 2.7 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 2.1 mark last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.2 three attempts per game (22nd-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a strong matchup. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. Grayson Allen has converted an impressive 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 89.3 rate last year.

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 2.2 mark, Eric Gordon's three-point shots scored have surged this season to 2.8 per game. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. Eric Gordon has sunk an impressive 100.0% of his free throws this year, a sizeable increase from his 80.7 mark last year. Eric Gordon will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

Eric Gordon

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Relative to last season's 2.2 mark, Eric Gordon's three-point shots scored have surged this season to 2.8 per game. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive boards per game this year. Eric Gordon has sunk an impressive 100.0% of his free throws this year, a sizeable increase from his 80.7 mark last year. Eric Gordon will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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