Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
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Oklahoma City @ Golden State props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 0.8 rate, Dario Saric's 3-pointers scored have increased this season to 1.5 per game. In contrast to last season's 13.6 rate, Dario Saric's playing time has surged this season to 20.9 minutes per game. This matchup is a tough one; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (104.4). The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Dario Saric

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Compared to last season's 0.8 rate, Dario Saric's 3-pointers scored have increased this season to 1.5 per game. In contrast to last season's 13.6 rate, Dario Saric's playing time has surged this season to 20.9 minutes per game. This matchup is a tough one; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (104.4). The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Chris Paul Points Scored Props • Golden State

C. Paul
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 11.5 clip, Chris Paul's shots have regressed this year to 9.0 per game. In regard to scoring, the Warriors's feeble 106.0 points per game without the home court advantage rates 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year. On their home court, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (15.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chris Paul

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Compared to last year's 11.5 clip, Chris Paul's shots have regressed this year to 9.0 per game. In regard to scoring, the Warriors's feeble 106.0 points per game without the home court advantage rates 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year. On their home court, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (15.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevon Looney Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Looney
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year. In contrast to last season's 60.2% mark, Kevon Looney's free-throw performance has spiked this season to 77.8%. The matchup against Oklahoma is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.4 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team (28th-most in the NBA). Kevon Looney will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

Kevon Looney

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year. In contrast to last season's 60.2% mark, Kevon Looney's free-throw performance has spiked this season to 77.8%. The matchup against Oklahoma is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting Cs have attempted a whopping 4.4 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team (28th-most in the NBA). Kevon Looney will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve stat production in all facets of the game.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-104

Luguentz Dort has converted a whopping 45.3% of his shots from downtown this season, quite a bit more than his 32.1 rate last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA away from home this year.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Luguentz Dort has converted a whopping 45.3% of his shots from downtown this season, quite a bit more than his 32.1 rate last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA away from home this year.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29
Best Odds
Under
-117

Relative to last year's 2.2 clip, Stephen Curry's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.8. In regard to scoring, the Warriors's feeble 106.0 points per game without the home court advantage rates 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 4.6 field goals per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Thunder, identifying this as a hard matchup. On their home court, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (15.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (13th-least in the NBA).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29

Relative to last year's 2.2 clip, Stephen Curry's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.8. In regard to scoring, the Warriors's feeble 106.0 points per game without the home court advantage rates 2nd-lowest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 4.6 field goals per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Thunder, identifying this as a hard matchup. On their home court, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (15.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (13th-least in the NBA).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.6
Best Odds
Under
-102

This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 1.5 3-pointers per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Warriors have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 9.8 mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots converted have decreased this year to 6.2 per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.6
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.6

This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 1.5 3-pointers per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, marking this as a difficult matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Warriors have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 9.8 mark, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots converted have decreased this year to 6.2 per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

Cason Wallace Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Wallace
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace registers in the 99th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a a great 65.7% rate this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has tallied 31.8 3-point attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA away from home this year. Cason Wallace has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts while at home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Cason Wallace

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Among all players in the NBA, Cason Wallace registers in the 99th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a a great 65.7% rate this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has tallied 31.8 3-point attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA away from home this year. Cason Wallace has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts while at home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Josh Giddey has committed just 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.8 fouls per game last year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for field goals; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 24th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (47.9%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA away from home this year. Josh Giddey has successfully made a terrific 100.0% of his foul shots this season, significantly higher than his 75.8 mark last season.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Josh Giddey has committed just 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.8 fouls per game last year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for field goals; when the Golden State Warriors are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 24th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (47.9%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA away from home this year. Josh Giddey has successfully made a terrific 100.0% of his foul shots this season, significantly higher than his 75.8 mark last season.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year. In comparison to last year's 85.6% rate, Klay Thompson's free-throw performance has risen this year to 100.0%. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Thunder, easily managing to draw fouls. Klay Thompson figures to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year. In comparison to last year's 85.6% rate, Klay Thompson's free-throw performance has risen this year to 100.0%. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Thunder, easily managing to draw fouls. Klay Thompson figures to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

I. Joe
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe has sunk a terrific 3.0 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.2 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Joe rates in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.0 fouls per game at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has tallied 31.8 3-point attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA away from home this year.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9

Isaiah Joe has sunk a terrific 3.0 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.2 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Joe rates in the 15th percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.0 fouls per game at home this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has tallied 31.8 3-point attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA away from home this year.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-117

Chet Holmgren has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have totaled 0.8 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Warriors have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren ought to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from hom in this contest.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Chet Holmgren has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have totaled 0.8 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Away from home, the Warriors have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Chet Holmgren ought to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from hom in this contest.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-115

Relative to last season's 10.1 mark, Jalen Williams's shots from the field have risen this season to 13.6 per game. Jalen Williams has converted an impressive 1.8 three-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.0 mark last year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 12.5 field goal attempts per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, creating a favorable matchup.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Relative to last season's 10.1 mark, Jalen Williams's shots from the field have risen this season to 13.6 per game. Jalen Williams has converted an impressive 1.8 three-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.0 mark last year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 12.5 field goal attempts per game (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Warriors, creating a favorable matchup.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 9.9 shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.8 rate last year. This matchup is a tough one; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (104.4). The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year. Compared to last year's 1.7 clip, Jonathan Kuminga's number of free throw attempts has surged this year to 5.7 free throw attempts per game.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 9.9 shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.8 rate last year. This matchup is a tough one; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (104.4). The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year. Compared to last year's 1.7 clip, Jonathan Kuminga's number of free throw attempts has surged this year to 5.7 free throw attempts per game.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-104

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Thunder, easily managing to draw fouls. Andrew Wiggins figures to get a boost in output in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6). The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while playing away from home with 15.3 offensive boards per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (24th-highest in the league) against the Thunder, easily managing to draw fouls. Andrew Wiggins figures to get a boost in output in all stat categories due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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