Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Cleveland 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
BSN, BSOHIO

Miami @ Cleveland props

Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Caris LeVert Points Scored Props • Cleveland

C. LeVert
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Caris LeVert has notched an impressive 18.0 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 12.3 points per game last season. Relative to last season's 4.8 clip, Caris LeVert's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this season to 7.0 per game. Relative to last year's 2.4 mark, Caris LeVert's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 0.8. The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Caris LeVert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Caris LeVert has notched an impressive 18.0 points per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 12.3 points per game last season. Relative to last season's 4.8 clip, Caris LeVert's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this season to 7.0 per game. Relative to last year's 2.4 mark, Caris LeVert's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 0.8. The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

Jimmy Butler has made a lowly 6.7 shots made from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.0 rate last year. The matchup against Cleveland is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.4). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

Jimmy Butler has made a lowly 6.7 shots made from the field per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 8.0 rate last year. The matchup against Cleveland is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are away from home, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.4). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21
Best Odds
Under
-127

Relative to last year's 40.6% clip, Darius Garland's three-point prowess has diminished this year to 30.5%. Darius Garland has attempted just 4.8 three-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 6.0 rate last year. In comparison to last year's 0.0 mark, Darius Garland's technical fouls have spiked this year to 0.2 per game. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 108.8 points per game playing at home places 4th-worst in the NBA this year. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while at home.

Darius Garland

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21

Relative to last year's 40.6% clip, Darius Garland's three-point prowess has diminished this year to 30.5%. Darius Garland has attempted just 4.8 three-point shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 6.0 rate last year. In comparison to last year's 0.0 mark, Darius Garland's technical fouls have spiked this year to 0.2 per game. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 108.8 points per game playing at home places 4th-worst in the NBA this year. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while at home.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 6.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's made overall this season on the road. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 41.7% of his three-point shots while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road. The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the other team has shot for the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (45.2%).

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 6.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's made overall this season on the road. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 41.7% of his three-point shots while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road. The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the other team has shot for the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (45.2%).

Haywood Highsmith Points Scored Props • Miami

H. Highsmith
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Haywood Highsmith has attempted 3.6 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.7 mark last season. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for an impressive 26.8 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 15.9 minutes per game last year. The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year. Relative to last year's 51.8% mark, Haywood Highsmith's foul-shot prowess has increased this year to 90.5%.

Haywood Highsmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Haywood Highsmith has attempted 3.6 3-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.7 mark last season. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for an impressive 26.8 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 15.9 minutes per game last year. The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year. Relative to last year's 51.8% mark, Haywood Highsmith's foul-shot prowess has increased this year to 90.5%.

Georges Niang Points Scored Props • Cleveland

G. Niang
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Georges Niang has successfully made 63.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Georges Niang has made an impressive 100.0% of his free throws this year, a significant increase from his 83.7 mark last year. This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.1 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

Georges Niang

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Georges Niang has successfully made 63.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.8% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Georges Niang has made an impressive 100.0% of his free throws this year, a significant increase from his 83.7 mark last year. This year, opposing squads have attempted 19.1 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, struggling to draw fouls.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-123

Among all players in the league, Max Strus slots into the 98th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.2 fouls per game while on his home court this year. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 108.8 points per game playing at home places 4th-worst in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 39.3% on field goals (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The Cavaliers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

Max Strus

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Among all players in the league, Max Strus slots into the 98th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.2 fouls per game while on his home court this year. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 108.8 points per game playing at home places 4th-worst in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 39.3% on field goals (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while at home. The Cavaliers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-120

Jarrett Allen has converted 10.0% of his 3-point shots at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. Jarrett Allen has played a mere 27.6 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 32.5 minutes per game last year. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 108.8 points per game playing at home places 4th-worst in the NBA this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged 8.9 shot attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, creating a difficult matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while at home.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Jarrett Allen has converted 10.0% of his 3-point shots at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. Jarrett Allen has played a mere 27.6 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 32.5 minutes per game last year. In terms of offense, the Cavaliers's subpar 108.8 points per game playing at home places 4th-worst in the NBA this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged 8.9 shot attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, creating a difficult matchup. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games while at home.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 5.1 three attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, making this a hard matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 5.1 three attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, making this a hard matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Under
+100

The matchup against Cleveland is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road, opposing starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least baskets per game in the league since the start of last season (4.7). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have secured 13.4 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (retaining possessions that can generate more chances for offense).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

The matchup against Cleveland is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road, opposing starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least baskets per game in the league since the start of last season (4.7). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing squads have secured 13.4 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (retaining possessions that can generate more chances for offense).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-118

Duncan Robinson has totaled a whopping 15.1 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.3 points per game last year. In comparison to last season's 1.7 mark, Duncan Robinson's three-pointers scored have surged this season to 3.2 per game. Duncan Robinson has tallied 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Duncan Robinson has totaled a whopping 15.1 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.3 points per game last year. In comparison to last season's 1.7 mark, Duncan Robinson's three-pointers scored have surged this season to 3.2 per game. Duncan Robinson has tallied 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year.

Thomas Bryant Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Bryant
center C • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Thomas Bryant has successfully made 67.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.6% more than he's converted in all games this season on his home court. In comparison to last year's 1.7 mark, Thomas Bryant's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 0.5. The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the other team has shot for the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (45.2%). The matchup against Cleveland is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 4.1 free throws per game this year when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

Thomas Bryant

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Thomas Bryant has successfully made 67.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.6% more than he's converted in all games this season on his home court. In comparison to last year's 1.7 mark, Thomas Bryant's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 0.5. The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the other team has shot for the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (45.2%). The matchup against Cleveland is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a colossal 4.1 free throws per game this year when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the other team has shot for the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (45.2%).

Caleb Martin

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

The Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year. This matchup is a challenging one for field goals; when the Cleveland Cavaliers have the home court advantage, the other team has shot for the 4th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA against them this year (45.2%).

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

E. Mobley
center C • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

In contrast to last year's 21.3% mark, Evan Mobley's 3-point prowess has risen this year to 50.0%. Evan Mobley has tallied 31.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Evan Mobley stands to get a boost in productivity for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Evan Mobley

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

In contrast to last year's 21.3% mark, Evan Mobley's 3-point prowess has risen this year to 50.0%. Evan Mobley has tallied 31.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Evan Mobley stands to get a boost in productivity for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic