Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
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Memphis @ Houston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
+115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
+115
Projection Rating

Jae'Sean Tate has successfully made an impressive 54.2% of his shots from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 47.0 rate last season. Relative to last season's 3.4 mark, Jae'Sean Tate's personal fouls per game have declined this season to 2.7. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.4 foul shots per game.

Jae'Sean Tate

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Jae'Sean Tate has successfully made an impressive 54.2% of his shots from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 47.0 rate last season. Relative to last season's 3.4 mark, Jae'Sean Tate's personal fouls per game have declined this season to 2.7. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.4 foul shots per game.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-110

The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a tough one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (11.0). The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league when playing away from home this year. The Rockets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 69.8% mark, Alperen Sengun's foul-shot proficiency has decreased this year to 56.8%.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a tough one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (11.0). The Rockets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league when playing away from home this year. The Rockets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 69.8% mark, Alperen Sengun's foul-shot proficiency has decreased this year to 56.8%.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-138
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-138
Projection Rating

The 8th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (21st-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

The 8th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (21st-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 97th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing at home, putting up 8.6 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.6 minutes per game this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.4 foul shots per game.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 97th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing at home, putting up 8.6 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.6 minutes per game this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.4 foul shots per game.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-115

Desmond Bane has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 10.8 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, creating a tough matchup for offensive productivity. The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies. The matchup against Houston may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are playing at home (10th-least in the league).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Desmond Bane has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (92nd percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 10.8 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, creating a tough matchup for offensive productivity. The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies. The matchup against Houston may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are playing at home (10th-least in the league).

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Under
-125

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year. Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, creating a tough matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies. Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year. Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, creating a tough matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies. Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+100

In comparison to last year's 32.6% rate, Dillon Brooks's 3-point prowess has increased this year to 50.1%. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.4 foul shots per game. Dillon Brooks stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

In comparison to last year's 32.6% rate, Dillon Brooks's 3-point prowess has increased this year to 50.1%. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.4 foul shots per game. Dillon Brooks stands to see an increase in production in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year. Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.6 three-pointers per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies. Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year. Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 1.6 three-pointers per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies. Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

Ziaire Williams Points Scored Props • Memphis

Z. Williams
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Ziaire Williams has made a whopping 1.7 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.8 mark last year. Ziaire Williams has averaged a whopping 25.0 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 13.4 minutes per game last year. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Ziaire Williams

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Ziaire Williams has made a whopping 1.7 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 0.8 mark last year. Ziaire Williams has averaged a whopping 25.0 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 13.4 minutes per game last year. The 8th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-104

Jalen Green has tallied a terrific 19.9 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 24.3 points per game last season. Jalen Green has played 30.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The matchup against Memphis is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.0). The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Jalen Green

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Jalen Green has tallied a terrific 19.9 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 24.3 points per game last season. Jalen Green has played 30.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 75th percentile. The matchup against Memphis is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.0). The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made a terrific 2.0 3-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 1.5 rate last season. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a strong matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). Relative to last year's 80.7% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s foul-shot prowess has spiked this year to 100.0%.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made a terrific 2.0 3-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 1.5 rate last season. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a strong matchup. The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). Relative to last year's 80.7% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s foul-shot prowess has spiked this year to 100.0%.

John Konchar Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Konchar
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The 8th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Konchar

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

The 8th-quickest pace home team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.4 foul shots per game. Tari Eason figures to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Tari Eason

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

The Grizzlies have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should increase plays for the Rockets. This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense). As a team, the Rockets have been great at getting to the charity stripe: 7th-best in the league since the start of last season, averaging 25.4 foul shots per game. Tari Eason figures to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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