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Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
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Minnesota @ Memphis props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds
Under
-105

Karl-Anthony Towns has accumulated 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Karl-Anthony Towns stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing away from hom in this contest.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

Karl-Anthony Towns has accumulated 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year on the road. The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies). The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Karl-Anthony Towns stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game on account of playing away from hom in this contest.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 56.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. Relative to last year's 16.1 rate, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's playing time has risen this year to 20.9 minutes per game. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a good one; they have allowed the 21st-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (15.8). The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has successfully made 56.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 11.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home. Relative to last year's 16.1 rate, Nickeil Alexander-Walker's playing time has risen this year to 20.9 minutes per game. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies is a good one; they have allowed the 21st-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (15.8). The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-122

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (17.7). The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing starting Cs have attempted 6.1 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The matchup against Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (17.7). The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). This year, opposing starting Cs have attempted 6.1 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Over
+105

In comparison to last year's 1.9 rate, Bismack Biyombo's shots from the field sunk have increased this year to 3.3 per game. In comparison to last season's 13.4 mark, Bismack Biyombo's playing time has increased this season to 27.9 minutes per game. The Grizzlies rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Bismack Biyombo will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

In comparison to last year's 1.9 rate, Bismack Biyombo's shots from the field sunk have increased this year to 3.3 per game. In comparison to last season's 13.4 mark, Bismack Biyombo's playing time has increased this season to 27.9 minutes per game. The Grizzlies rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Bismack Biyombo will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15
Best Odds
Under
-124

Santi Aldama has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last year. When it comes to offense, the Memphis Grizzlies's lackluster 106.2 points per game when playing away from home rates 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. When playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Santi Aldama has made a lowly 25.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 80.1 rate last season.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15

Santi Aldama has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.0 technicals per game last year. When it comes to offense, the Memphis Grizzlies's lackluster 106.2 points per game when playing away from home rates 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. When playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists). Santi Aldama has made a lowly 25.0% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 80.1 rate last season.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Grizzlies rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Timberwolves are at home (21st-most in the league). Desmond Bane ought to see a spike in output in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

Out of all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Grizzlies rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a colossal 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Timberwolves are at home (21st-most in the league). Desmond Bane ought to see a spike in output in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 1.1 clip, Naz Reid's threes hit have jumped this year to 1.7 per game. Naz Reid has tallied a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.6 fouls per game last season. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 68.6% mark, Naz Reid's foul-shot prowess has surged this season to 100.0%.

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Relative to last year's 1.1 clip, Naz Reid's threes hit have jumped this year to 1.7 per game. Naz Reid has tallied a measly 1.3 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.6 fouls per game last season. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 68.6% mark, Naz Reid's foul-shot prowess has surged this season to 100.0%.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.8
Best Odds
Over
-122

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 13.1 mark last season. The Grizzlies rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 6.1 free throws per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.0 rate last year. Jaren Jackson Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player production for all stats.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.8
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.8

Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 13.1 mark last season. The Grizzlies rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 6.1 free throws per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.0 rate last year. Jaren Jackson Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player production for all stats.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Grizzlies are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (24.9). The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 82.8% clip, Mike Conley's free-throw efficiency has jumped this season to 100.0%. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.1 free throws per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Grizzlies are on the road, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (24.9). The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 82.8% clip, Mike Conley's free-throw efficiency has jumped this season to 100.0%. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.1 free throws per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
+102
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 52.4% rate, Kyle Anderson's shooting prowess has surged this season to 59.7%. In contrast to last year's 2.2 clip, Kyle Anderson's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 1.4. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

In contrast to last season's 52.4% rate, Kyle Anderson's shooting prowess has surged this season to 59.7%. In contrast to last year's 2.2 clip, Kyle Anderson's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 1.4. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-122

Anthony Edwards has made a whopping 3.0 three-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 2.5 rate last season. Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards places in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 4.1 mark, Anthony Edwards's free throws hit have spiked this season to 5.2 per game.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Anthony Edwards has made a whopping 3.0 three-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 2.5 rate last season. Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards places in the 96th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year. With respect to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's remarkable 36.7% rate of made threes while playing at home ranks 6th-most in the league since the start of last season. The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Relative to last season's 4.1 mark, Anthony Edwards's free throws hit have spiked this season to 5.2 per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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