Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Los Angeles 4th WESTERN CONFERENCE51-31
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Denver @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Terance Mann Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

T. Mann
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-129

Terance Mann has converted a lowly 30.0% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable decrease from his 52.5 rate last season. Out of all players in the league, Terance Mann places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.3 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 14th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.2). The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Clippers. The Clippers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Terance Mann

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Terance Mann has converted a lowly 30.0% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a sizeable decrease from his 52.5 rate last season. Out of all players in the league, Terance Mann places in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.3 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 14th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.2). The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Clippers. The Clippers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

J. Harden
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-110

In terms of 3-point shots, the Clippers's fantastic 12.7 drained threes per game on their home court ranks 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season. This year, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). James Harden should see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

James Harden

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

In terms of 3-point shots, the Clippers's fantastic 12.7 drained threes per game on their home court ranks 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season. This year, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). James Harden should see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Paul George Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

P. George
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

Paul George has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile). This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 3.5 3-point attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Clippers. The Clippers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Denver may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when the Denver Nuggets are away from home (14th-least in the league).

Paul George

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

Paul George has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile). This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 3.5 3-point attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, branding this as a hard matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Clippers. The Clippers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Denver may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games when the Denver Nuggets are away from home (14th-least in the league).

Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

R. Westbrook
point guard PG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

In terms of 3-point shots, the Clippers's fantastic 12.7 drained threes per game on their home court ranks 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season. This year, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). Russell Westbrook will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Russell Westbrook

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

In terms of 3-point shots, the Clippers's fantastic 12.7 drained threes per game on their home court ranks 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season. This year, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). Russell Westbrook will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 106.7 points per game places 5th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.5). The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 106.7 points per game places 5th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (5.5). The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Kentavious Caldwell-Pope will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

Norman Powell Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

N. Powell
shooting guard SG • L.A. Clippers
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 38.8% clip, Norman Powell's 3-point efficiency has surged this season to 52.4%. In terms of 3-point shots, the Clippers's fantastic 12.7 drained threes per game on their home court ranks 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season. This year, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). Norman Powell figures to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Norman Powell

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Relative to last season's 38.8% clip, Norman Powell's 3-point efficiency has surged this season to 52.4%. In terms of 3-point shots, the Clippers's fantastic 12.7 drained threes per game on their home court ranks 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season. This year, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). Norman Powell figures to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
29
Best Odds
Under
-105

Nikola Jokic has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.3 higher than he's been called for overall this year at home. In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 106.7 points per game places 5th-worst in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 9.7 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive performance. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29

Nikola Jokic has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.3 higher than he's been called for overall this year at home. In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 106.7 points per game places 5th-worst in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 9.7 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive performance. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.9
Best Odds
Under
-130

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 106.7 points per game places 5th-worst in the league this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have registered 12.1 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Relative to last year's 88.8% mark, Reggie Jackson's foul-shot effectiveness has fallen this year to 64.8%.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.9

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 106.7 points per game places 5th-worst in the league this year. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have registered 12.1 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, labeling this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Relative to last year's 88.8% mark, Reggie Jackson's foul-shot effectiveness has fallen this year to 64.8%.

DeAndre Jordan Points Scored Props • Denver

D. Jordan
center C • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, DeAndre Jordan rates in the 100th percentile for field goal performance with a a great 77.5% rate since the start of last season. DeAndre Jordan has converted 100.0% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, DeAndre Jordan slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a mere 1.2 fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season. The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

DeAndre Jordan

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Among all players in the league, DeAndre Jordan rates in the 100th percentile for field goal performance with a a great 77.5% rate since the start of last season. DeAndre Jordan has converted 100.0% of his three-point attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, DeAndre Jordan slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a mere 1.2 fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season. The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (21st-highest in the league) against the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Ivica Zubac Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

I. Zubac
center C • L.A. Clippers
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Under
-125

Ivica Zubac has made 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Ivica Zubac has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile). This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have shot 46.2% on field goal attempts (14th-worst in the league) vs. the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Clippers. The Clippers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Ivica Zubac

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Ivica Zubac has made 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Ivica Zubac has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile). This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have shot 46.2% on field goal attempts (14th-worst in the league) vs. the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Clippers. The Clippers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Over
-104

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.7 foul shots per game this year (25th-most in the NBA).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season. The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 4.7 foul shots per game this year (25th-most in the NBA).

Justin Holiday Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Holiday
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Justin Holiday

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 106.7 points per game places 5th-worst in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Christian Braun stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing away from hom in this contest.

Christian Braun

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 106.7 points per game places 5th-worst in the league this year. The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can generate further chances for offense). Christian Braun stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories considering playing away from hom in this contest.

Kawhi Leonard Points Scored Props • L.A. Clippers

K. Leonard
small forward SF • L.A. Clippers
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Kawhi Leonard has attempted 5.9 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 4.8 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Kawhi Leonard rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 31.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year. In terms of 3-point shots, the Clippers's fantastic 12.7 drained threes per game on their home court ranks 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season. This year, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). Kawhi Leonard will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance across the board.

Kawhi Leonard

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

Kawhi Leonard has attempted 5.9 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 4.8 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Kawhi Leonard rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 31.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year. In terms of 3-point shots, the Clippers's fantastic 12.7 drained threes per game on their home court ranks 10th-highest in the NBA since the start of last season. This year, their opposition has brought down 9.2 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense). Kawhi Leonard will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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