LIVE 04:27 4th Oct 17
LAL 99 7.5 o222.5
PHO 101 -7.5 u222.5
LIVE 06:37 3rd Oct 17
SAC 58 1.0 o217.0
LAC 76 -1.0 u217.0
Final OT Oct 17
CHA 116 5.5 o235.5
IND 121 -5.5 u235.5
Final Oct 17
MIL 84 6.5 o216.0
DAL 109 -6.5 u216.0
Final Oct 17
SA 107 8.5 o223.0
HOU 129 -8.5 u223.0
Final Oct 17
ATL 99 9.0 o223.5
OKC 104 -9.0 u223.5
Final Oct 17
DEN 132 -7.5 o222.5
MIN 126 7.5 u222.5
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
NBALP, Space City Home Network, Altitude Sports

Houston @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Justin Holiday Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Holiday
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.8
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Rockets). In regard to drawing fouls, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 20.1 foul shots per game places 3rd-worst in the league this year.

Justin Holiday

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.8

The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Rockets). In regard to drawing fouls, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 20.1 foul shots per game places 3rd-worst in the league this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 11.7 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s shots from the field have increased this season to 11.7 per game. Relative to last season's 28.1% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s 3-point efficiency has risen this season to 37.6%. In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 47.9% field goal rate rates 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

In contrast to last season's 11.7 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s shots from the field have increased this season to 11.7 per game. Relative to last season's 28.1% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s 3-point efficiency has risen this season to 37.6%. In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 47.9% field goal rate rates 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has made a terrific 3.3 baskets per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.8 rate last season. Christian Braun has tallied a whopping 20.6 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 14.5 minutes per game last season. The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Christian Braun has sunk a whopping 1.4 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 0.5 mark last season.

Christian Braun

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Christian Braun has made a terrific 3.3 baskets per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.8 rate last season. Christian Braun has tallied a whopping 20.6 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 14.5 minutes per game last season. The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Christian Braun has sunk a whopping 1.4 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 0.5 mark last season.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-114

Fred VanVleet has played 37.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile. In contrast to last season's 2.8 clip, Fred VanVleet's personal fouls per game have regressed this season to 1.9. In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 47.9% field goal rate rates 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Fred VanVleet has played 37.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 100th percentile. In contrast to last season's 2.8 clip, Fred VanVleet's personal fouls per game have regressed this season to 1.9. In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 47.9% field goal rate rates 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.3
Best Odds
Under
-114

Alperen Sengun has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 fouls per game last season. This year when they are at home, opposing starting Cs have averaged 21.7% on threes (12th-worst in the league) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.3

Alperen Sengun has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 3.2 fouls per game last season. This year when they are at home, opposing starting Cs have averaged 21.7% on threes (12th-worst in the league) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-105

Relative to last season's 2.2 clip, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 2.9. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 4.4 field goals per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets, marking this as a difficult matchup. The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Rockets). In regard to drawing fouls, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 20.1 foul shots per game places 3rd-worst in the league this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Relative to last season's 2.2 clip, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 2.9. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 4.4 field goals per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets, marking this as a difficult matchup. The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Rockets). In regard to drawing fouls, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 20.1 foul shots per game places 3rd-worst in the league this year.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Under
+100

Jalen Green has attempted a mere 15.3 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 17.9 rate last season. Compared to last year's 7.3 clip, Jalen Green's shot attempts from downtown have decreased this year to 6.1 per game. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Jalen Green

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Jalen Green has attempted a mere 15.3 field goals per game this season, significantly lower than his 17.9 rate last season. Compared to last year's 7.3 clip, Jalen Green's shot attempts from downtown have decreased this year to 6.1 per game. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Houston Rockets.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. While playing at home, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Tari Eason has made a measly 30.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 76.8 rate last year.

Tari Eason

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. While playing at home, the Nuggets have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Tari Eason has made a measly 30.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 76.8 rate last year.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-128

Compared to last year's 5.3 mark, Dillon Brooks's shots converted have increased this year to 6.0 per game. Dillon Brooks has made a whopping 2.3 three-pointers per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.9 rate last season. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 47.9% field goal rate rates 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Compared to last year's 5.3 mark, Dillon Brooks's shots converted have increased this year to 6.0 per game. Dillon Brooks has made a whopping 2.3 three-pointers per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.9 rate last season. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 47.9% field goal rate rates 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.8 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 29.8% rate, Jeff Green's three-point effectiveness has diminished this season to 11.1%. Jeff Green has been on the court for 14.5 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jeff Green

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.1

Compared to last season's 29.8% rate, Jeff Green's three-point effectiveness has diminished this season to 11.1%. Jeff Green has been on the court for 14.5 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Aaron Holiday Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Holiday
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+108
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+108
Projection Rating

In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 47.9% field goal rate rates 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, Aaron Holiday slots into the 84th percentile for foul-shot ability when playing at home with a a phenomenal 88.9% rate this year.

Aaron Holiday

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

In regard to scoring, the Houston Rockets's terrific 47.9% field goal rate rates 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games. Among all players in the league, Aaron Holiday slots into the 84th percentile for foul-shot ability when playing at home with a a phenomenal 88.9% rate this year.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Reggie Jackson has successfully made an impressive 5.2 baskets per game this year, significantly more than his 3.6 rate last year. Reggie Jackson has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.4 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road. The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson ought to see a spike in production in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.1

Reggie Jackson has successfully made an impressive 5.2 baskets per game this year, significantly more than his 3.6 rate last year. Reggie Jackson has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.4 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road. The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Reggie Jackson ought to see a spike in production in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile for shots with the home court advantage, posting 13.9 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.7 3-pointers per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.1 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.9 mark last year.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 83rd percentile for shots with the home court advantage, posting 13.9 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.7 3-pointers per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists). Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.1 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.9 mark last year.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Under
-103
Prop
27.5 Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Under
-103
Projection Rating

The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least threes per game in the league this year (0.0). The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Rockets). In regard to drawing fouls, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 20.1 foul shots per game places 3rd-worst in the league this year. Since the start of last season, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, struggling to get to the foul line.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

The matchup vs. Houston is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least threes per game in the league this year (0.0). The 4th-most lethargic pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Rockets). In regard to drawing fouls, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 20.1 foul shots per game places 3rd-worst in the league this year. Since the start of last season, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, struggling to get to the foul line.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray lands in the 83rd percentile for field goal attempts while on the road, tallying 12.5 per game this year. Jamal Murray has sunk 2.7 treys per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Among all players in the league, Jamal Murray lands in the 83rd percentile for field goal attempts while on the road, tallying 12.5 per game this year. Jamal Murray has sunk 2.7 treys per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jamal Murray has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Nuggets check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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