Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Memphis @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Over
-110

Out of all players in the league, Jaden Hardy ranks in the 7th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 0.7 fouls per game at home this year. In terms of offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 119.5 points per game while at home places 5th-highest in the league this year. The 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense). Jaden Hardy will likely see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

Out of all players in the league, Jaden Hardy ranks in the 7th percentile for personal fouls, posting a mere 0.7 fouls per game at home this year. In terms of offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 119.5 points per game while at home places 5th-highest in the league this year. The 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.5 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense). Jaden Hardy will likely see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Derrick Rose Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Rose
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Under
-125

Derrick Rose has been on the court for 12.0 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 19th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA. As it relates to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 105.6 points per game while on the road ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 10th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (27.7%). The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

Derrick Rose

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Derrick Rose has been on the court for 12.0 minutes per game away from his home court since the start of last season, ranking him in the 19th percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA. As it relates to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 105.6 points per game while on the road ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 10th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (27.7%). The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Under
-115

Relative to last year's 8.3 rate, Kyrie Irving's three-point attempts have decreased this year to 7.1 per game. Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season at home. This year, the other team's starting PGs have posted 16.6 points per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

Relative to last year's 8.3 rate, Kyrie Irving's three-point attempts have decreased this year to 7.1 per game. Kyrie Irving has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 9 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's averaged overall this season at home. This year, the other team's starting PGs have posted 16.6 points per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Bismack Biyombo Points Scored Props • Memphis

B. Biyombo
center C • Memphis
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-128

Relative to last season's 56.6% mark, Bismack Biyombo's field goal efficiency has increased this season to 62.5%. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 18.7 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-speediest tempo away offense in the league this year (the Mavericks). The matchup against Dallas may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted an enormous 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Mavericks are on the road (29th-most in the league).

Bismack Biyombo

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Relative to last season's 56.6% mark, Bismack Biyombo's field goal efficiency has increased this season to 62.5%. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 18.7 points per game (30th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-speediest tempo away offense in the league this year (the Mavericks). The matchup against Dallas may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted an enormous 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Mavericks are on the road (29th-most in the league).

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Under
-118

In comparison to last year's 58.5% rate, Josh Green's field goal effectiveness has dropped this year to 34.3%. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Relative to last year's 65.0% rate, Josh Green's free-throw effectiveness has declined this year to 33.3%.

Josh Green

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

In comparison to last year's 58.5% rate, Josh Green's field goal effectiveness has dropped this year to 34.3%. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Relative to last year's 65.0% rate, Josh Green's free-throw effectiveness has declined this year to 33.3%.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Grant Williams has sunk a terrific 2.4 threes per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.4 rate last year. In comparison to last season's 24.1 mark, Grant Williams's playing time has spiked this season to 28.4 minutes per game. In terms of offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 119.5 points per game while at home places 5th-highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a strong one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.3). The 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

Grant Williams

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Grant Williams has sunk a terrific 2.4 threes per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.4 rate last year. In comparison to last season's 24.1 mark, Grant Williams's playing time has spiked this season to 28.4 minutes per game. In terms of offense, the Dallas Mavericks's exceptional 119.5 points per game while at home places 5th-highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a strong one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.3). The 6th-fastest tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.

David Roddy Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Roddy
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

As it relates to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 105.6 points per game while on the road ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (20.2%). The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can create added opportunities for offense). Compared to last year's 66.7% rate, David Roddy's free-throw proficiency has dropped this year to 58.3%.

David Roddy

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

As it relates to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 105.6 points per game while on the road ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a challenging one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (20.2%). The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can create added opportunities for offense). Compared to last year's 66.7% rate, David Roddy's free-throw proficiency has dropped this year to 58.3%.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup against Memphis is a tough one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (12.4). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, making it tough to draw fouls.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

The matchup against Memphis is a tough one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs since the start of last season (12.4). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, making it tough to draw fouls.

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.4 fouls per game when playing on the road this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 8.3 shot attempts per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, marking this as a tough matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Among all players in the league, Dereck Lively II registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.4 fouls per game when playing on the road this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 8.3 shot attempts per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, marking this as a tough matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has attempted 12.6 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.7 mark last year. Compared to last year's 3.4 mark, Santi Aldama's three-point attempts have increased this year to 5.8 per game. Santi Aldama has been on the court for a whopping 25.9 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 20.9 minutes per game last year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have totaled 10.9 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup.

Santi Aldama

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Santi Aldama has attempted 12.6 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 6.7 mark last year. Compared to last year's 3.4 mark, Santi Aldama's three-point attempts have increased this year to 5.8 per game. Santi Aldama has been on the court for a whopping 25.9 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 20.9 minutes per game last year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have totaled 10.9 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

In comparison to last season's 13.3 rate, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s shots have surged this season to 17.0 per game. Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.6 mark last year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-speediest tempo away offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

In comparison to last season's 13.3 rate, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s shots have surged this season to 17.0 per game. Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 5.6 3-pointers per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.6 mark last year. Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 30.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-speediest tempo away offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.8
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.8
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting PGs have posted 16.6 points per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 7.5 free throws per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 rate last year. Over the last 8 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 23.8 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.8
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.8

This year, the other team's starting PGs have posted 16.6 points per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Mavericks. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 7.5 free throws per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 10.5 rate last year. Over the last 8 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 23.8 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Relative to last year's 16.5 clip, Desmond Bane's shots taken have risen this year to 19.1 per game. Desmond Bane has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 7.1 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 25th-highest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (37.2%).

Desmond Bane

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Relative to last year's 16.5 clip, Desmond Bane's shots taken have risen this year to 19.1 per game. Desmond Bane has attempted 9.2 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 7.1 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Desmond Bane ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.3 minutes per game this year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 25th-highest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (37.2%).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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