Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33

Denver @ Phoenix props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keita Bates-Diop Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Bates-Diop
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 51.4% rate, Keita Bates-Diop's scoring effectiveness has regressed this season to 43.5%. Relative to last season's 36.6% mark, Keita Bates-Diop's three-point efficiency has regressed this season to 26.5%. Among all players in the NBA, Keita Bates-Diop ranks in the 25th percentile for playing time, logging only 16.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.6). The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Keita Bates-Diop

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Relative to last season's 51.4% rate, Keita Bates-Diop's scoring effectiveness has regressed this season to 43.5%. Relative to last season's 36.6% mark, Keita Bates-Diop's three-point efficiency has regressed this season to 26.5%. Among all players in the NBA, Keita Bates-Diop ranks in the 25th percentile for playing time, logging only 16.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.6). The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.5
Best Odds
Under
-108
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.5
Best Odds
Under
-108
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.4 fouls per game when playing at home this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's lackluster 107.3 points per game as the away team settles in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting Cs have totaled 4.8 field goals per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year. The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.5
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.5

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 75th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.4 fouls per game when playing at home this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's lackluster 107.3 points per game as the away team settles in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. This year, the other team's starting Cs have totaled 4.8 field goals per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a difficult matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year. The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Under
-130

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made just 37.8% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit lower than his 45.0 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's lackluster 107.3 points per game as the away team settles in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when the Phoenix Suns are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.5). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made just 37.8% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit lower than his 45.0 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope lands in the 80th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's lackluster 107.3 points per game as the away team settles in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The matchup against Phoenix is a tough one for 3-point attempts; when the Phoenix Suns are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.5). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Under
-120

Jamal Murray has converted a measly 2.1 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.7 rate last year. Jamal Murray has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 0.0 technicals per game last year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's lackluster 107.3 points per game as the away team settles in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, making this a difficult matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Jamal Murray has converted a measly 2.1 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 2.7 rate last year. Jamal Murray has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 0.0 technicals per game last year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's lackluster 107.3 points per game as the away team settles in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, making this a difficult matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen ranks in the 83rd percentile for 3-pointers made playing at home, tallying 2.3 per game this year. Grayson Allen has played a terrific 31.9 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 27.1 minutes per game last year. As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 116.4 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Grayson Allen has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Among all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen ranks in the 83rd percentile for 3-pointers made playing at home, tallying 2.3 per game this year. Grayson Allen has played a terrific 31.9 minutes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 27.1 minutes per game last year. As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 116.4 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Grayson Allen has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

In contrast to last season's 1.8 mark, Kevin Durant's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 2.3. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 2.4 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 7thworst in in the league on the road with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.3
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.3

In contrast to last season's 1.8 mark, Kevin Durant's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 2.3. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 2.4 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a hard matchup. The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 7thworst in in the league on the road with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Justin Holiday Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Holiday
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Justin Holiday has made an impressive 50.2% of his three-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 26.9 mark last season. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Suns are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 23rd-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.1). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Justin Holiday

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.2

Justin Holiday has made an impressive 50.2% of his three-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 26.9 mark last season. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Suns are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged the 23rd-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.1). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-105

Michael Porter Jr. has totaled a mere 15.9 points per game this year, significantly less than his 16.7 points per game last year. Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.1 fouls per game last year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's lackluster 107.3 points per game as the away team settles in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year. The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Michael Porter Jr. has totaled a mere 15.9 points per game this year, significantly less than his 16.7 points per game last year. Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.1 fouls per game last year. When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's lackluster 107.3 points per game as the away team settles in as the 5th-lowest in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year. The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has sunk a whopping 42.8% of his attempts from downtown this year, quite a bit higher than his 35.0 rate last year. The matchup against the Suns is a difficult one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have tallied the 6th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.9). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Christian Braun

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Christian Braun has sunk a whopping 42.8% of his attempts from downtown this year, quite a bit higher than his 35.0 rate last year. The matchup against the Suns is a difficult one for three-point attempts; opposing clubs have tallied the 6th-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.9). Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Drew Eubanks Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Eubanks
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+114
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.7
Best Odds
Over
+114
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 35.4% mark, Drew Eubanks's three-point prowess has surged this season to 100.0%. As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 116.4 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Drew Eubanks figures to see a rise in performance across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Drew Eubanks

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.7

Compared to last season's 35.4% mark, Drew Eubanks's three-point prowess has surged this season to 100.0%. As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 116.4 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Drew Eubanks figures to see a rise in performance across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Under
-102

Relative to last season's 0.0 mark, Eric Gordon's technical fouls have increased this season to 0.1 per game. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.0 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup. The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 7thworst in in the league on the road with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Eric Gordon

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Relative to last season's 0.0 mark, Eric Gordon's technical fouls have increased this season to 0.1 per game. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.0 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup. The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Phoenix Suns. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns grade out 7thworst in in the league on the road with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-109

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 53.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 116.4 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 65.6% clip, Jusuf Nurkic's free-throw proficiency has increased this season to 78.6%. This year, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, easily managing to draw fouls.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 53.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's remarkable 116.4 points per game when playing away from home comes in as the 7th-most in the league this year. The Denver Nuggets have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 65.6% clip, Jusuf Nurkic's free-throw proficiency has increased this season to 78.6%. This year, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets, easily managing to draw fouls.

Reggie Jackson Points Scored Props • Denver

R. Jackson
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Compared to last year's 91.7% rate, Reggie Jackson's foul-shot effectiveness has risen this year to 72.2%.

Reggie Jackson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league as the road team with 15.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Compared to last year's 91.7% rate, Reggie Jackson's foul-shot effectiveness has risen this year to 72.2%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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