Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Charlotte 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE21-61

Miami @ Charlotte props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Under
-110

In comparison to last year's 46.9% mark, Caleb Martin's shooting prowess has declined this year to 34.5%. Caleb Martin has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year. While playing at home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 82.3% clip, Caleb Martin's free-throw effectiveness has spiked this year to 83.3%.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

In comparison to last year's 46.9% mark, Caleb Martin's shooting prowess has declined this year to 34.5%. Caleb Martin has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year. While playing at home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 82.3% clip, Caleb Martin's free-throw effectiveness has spiked this year to 83.3%.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Kevin Love has converted a terrific 45.0% of his field goals this year, quite a bit more than his 37.9 mark last year. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games. The Heat have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

Kevin Love

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Kevin Love has converted a terrific 45.0% of his field goals this year, quite a bit more than his 37.9 mark last year. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games. The Heat have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
-106

Kyle Lowry has converted a whopping 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.9 rate last year. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games. The Heat have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Kyle Lowry has converted a whopping 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.9 rate last year. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games. The Heat have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games. The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

Brandon Miller Points Scored Props • Charlotte

B. Miller
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-127

Brandon Miller has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.2 minutes per game while on the road this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 2.5 three-pointers per game (27th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

Brandon Miller

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

Brandon Miller has successfully made 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.2 minutes per game while on the road this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 2.5 three-pointers per game (27th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Charlotte

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.4

The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Charlotte

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-118

In contrast to last season's 7.8 mark, Terry Rozier's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 6.8 per game. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against Miami is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Heat are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 11th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.6). This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

In contrast to last season's 7.8 mark, Terry Rozier's shot attempts from downtown have surged this season to 6.8 per game. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against Miami is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Heat are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 11th-least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.6). This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

Orlando Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

O. Robinson
center C • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Orlando Robinson has successfully made an impressive 91.7% of his 3-pointers this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 rate last year. Orlando Robinson has tallied 23.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games. The matchup against the Hornets is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting Cs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (55.6%). The Heat have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Orlando Robinson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Orlando Robinson has successfully made an impressive 91.7% of his 3-pointers this year, a sizeable increase from his 0.0 rate last year. Orlando Robinson has tallied 23.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games. The matchup against the Hornets is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting Cs have shot for the 30th-highest three percentage in the league this year (55.6%). The Heat have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Charlotte

N. Richards
center C • Charlotte
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 4.4 rate, Nick Richards's shots have dropped this season to 2.6 per game. Nick Richards has been on the court for a mere 15.6 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 18.8 minutes per game last season. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4). This year when they are at home, opposing starting Cs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Nick Richards

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

In comparison to last season's 4.4 rate, Nick Richards's shots have dropped this season to 2.6 per game. Nick Richards has been on the court for a mere 15.6 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 18.8 minutes per game last season. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.4). This year when they are at home, opposing starting Cs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

Miles Bridges Points Scored Props • Charlotte

M. Bridges
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Miles Bridges

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

The Charlotte Hornets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Relative to last year's 29.3% rate, Jimmy Butler's 3-point proficiency has increased this year to 49.6%. Jimmy Butler has tallied 32.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a lowly 1.1 fouls per game while on the road this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games. The Heat have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

Relative to last year's 29.3% rate, Jimmy Butler's 3-point proficiency has increased this year to 49.6%. Jimmy Butler has tallied 32.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 18th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a lowly 1.1 fouls per game while on the road this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games. The Heat have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Mark Williams Points Scored Props • Charlotte

M. Williams
center C • Charlotte
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Mark Williams has made a lowly 4.7 field goals per game this season, significantly less than his 4.2 mark last season. The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense).

Mark Williams

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Mark Williams has made a lowly 4.7 field goals per game this season, significantly less than his 4.2 mark last season. The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further chances for offense).

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-105

In comparison to last year's 1.7 clip, Duncan Robinson's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 2.6. Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 12.0 shot attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, making this a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year. While playing at home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 19 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

In comparison to last year's 1.7 clip, Duncan Robinson's personal fouls per game have increased this year to 2.6. Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 12.0 shot attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, making this a hard matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year. While playing at home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Over the last 19 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-106
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Under
-106
Projection Rating

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year. While playing at home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Charlotte Hornets are at home, their opposition has attempted a monstrous 24.7 foul shots per game this year (7th-most in the league). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production across the board.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game this year. While playing at home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Charlotte Hornets are at home, their opposition has attempted a monstrous 24.7 foul shots per game this year (7th-most in the league). Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production across the board.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Charlotte

P. Washington
power forward PF • Charlotte
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 6.6 rate, P.J. Washington's shots from the field sunk have risen this year to 6.0 per game. P.J. Washington has tallied 30.5 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Relative to last year's 6.6 rate, P.J. Washington's shots from the field sunk have risen this year to 6.0 per game. P.J. Washington has tallied 30.5 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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