Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Atlanta 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE36-46

Denver @ Atlanta props

State Farm Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Garrison Mathews Points Scored Props • Atlanta

G. Mathews
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
3.5
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Garrison Mathews comes in at the 18th percentile for playing time, averaging a mere 5.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 3.8 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should reduce possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Garrison Mathews

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 3.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
3.5

Out of all players in the NBA, Garrison Mathews comes in at the 18th percentile for playing time, averaging a mere 5.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 3.8 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should reduce possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.

Onyeka Okongwu Points Scored Props • Atlanta

O. Okongwu
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 73.2% mark, Onyeka Okongwu's foul-shot proficiency has surged this year to 100.0%. Onyeka Okongwu will likely see a rise in output across the board due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Onyeka Okongwu

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 73.2% mark, Onyeka Okongwu's foul-shot proficiency has surged this year to 100.0%. Onyeka Okongwu will likely see a rise in output across the board due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

Trae Young Points Scored Props • Atlanta

T. Young
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.4
Best Odds
Under
-108

Trae Young has been called for 0.3 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (99th percentile). This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.1 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should reduce possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).

Trae Young

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.4
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.4

Trae Young has been called for 0.3 technical fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (99th percentile). This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.1 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a difficult matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should reduce possessions for the Atlanta Hawks. The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games (12th-least in the NBA).

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's field goal attempts have surged this season to 9.2 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope places in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

In contrast to last season's 8.2 mark, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's field goal attempts have surged this season to 9.2 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope places in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Bogdan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Atlanta

B. Bogdanovic
shooting guard SG • Atlanta
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 15.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made a whopping 2.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly more than his 0.8 rate last season.

Bogdan Bogdanovic

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.9

Bogdan Bogdanovic has attempted 15.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Bogdan Bogdanovic has successfully made a whopping 2.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly more than his 0.8 rate last season.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.6 minutes per game while at home this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon measures in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.6 minutes per game while at home this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.8
Best Odds
Over
-114

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 63.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 14.8% higher than he's made overall this year while playing away from home. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.8

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 63.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 14.8% higher than he's made overall this year while playing away from home. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has attempted 8.4 shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.6 rate last season. Compared to last year's 35.0% rate, Christian Braun's 3-point proficiency has increased this year to 39.6%. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 8 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 21.1 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Christian Braun

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Christian Braun has attempted 8.4 shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.6 rate last season. Compared to last year's 35.0% rate, Christian Braun's 3-point proficiency has increased this year to 39.6%. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 8 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 21.1 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

De'Andre Hunter Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Hunter
power forward PF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-108

Out of all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter registers in the 75th percentile, tallying a colossal 15.1 points per game while playing away from home this year. De'Andre Hunter has played 30.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

De'Andre Hunter

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Out of all players in the league, De'Andre Hunter registers in the 75th percentile, tallying a colossal 15.1 points per game while playing away from home this year. De'Andre Hunter has played 30.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Saddiq Bey Points Scored Props • Atlanta

S. Bey
small forward SF • Atlanta
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Relative to last season's 40.1% rate, Saddiq Bey's field goal ability has jumped this season to 51.0%. Saddiq Bey has made a terrific 42.1% of his three-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 32.3 rate last year. Saddiq Bey has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Saddiq Bey

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Relative to last season's 40.1% rate, Saddiq Bey's field goal ability has jumped this season to 51.0%. Saddiq Bey has made a terrific 42.1% of his three-pointers this year, a significant increase from his 32.3 rate last year. Saddiq Bey has been on the court for 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

In contrast to last season's 9.8 mark, Nikola Jokic's shots from the field drained have increased this season to 11.1 per game. Nikola Jokic has played 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played in all games this season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 4.3 free throws per game this year when the Atlanta Hawks are on the road (27th-most in the NBA).

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

In contrast to last season's 9.8 mark, Nikola Jokic's shots from the field drained have increased this season to 11.1 per game. Nikola Jokic has played 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played in all games this season. The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 4.3 free throws per game this year when the Atlanta Hawks are on the road (27th-most in the NBA).

Clint Capela Points Scored Props • Atlanta

C. Capela
center C • Atlanta
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-128

In contrast to last season's 67.2% clip, Clint Capela's field goal effectiveness has jumped this season to 60.9%. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Clint Capela

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

In contrast to last season's 67.2% clip, Clint Capela's field goal effectiveness has jumped this season to 60.9%. The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • Atlanta

D. Murray
point guard PG • Atlanta
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-122

Dejounte Murray has made a whopping 8.7 baskets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.4 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Dejounte Murray registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game this year. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Dejounte Murray has made a whopping 8.7 baskets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.4 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Dejounte Murray registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.6 minutes per game this year. The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home. The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists). On their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-114

In contrast to last season's 7.8 mark, Jamal Murray's shots converted have jumped this season to 7.8 per game. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Hawks are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.9). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 8 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 21.1 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

In contrast to last season's 7.8 mark, Jamal Murray's shots converted have jumped this season to 7.8 per game. The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Hawks are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.9). The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which should increase plays for the Denver Nuggets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games. Over the last 8 games when they are playing at home, the other team has attempted 21.1 foul shots per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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