Cleveland 4th EASTERN CONFERENCE48-34
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
NBCSB, BSN

Cleveland @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.5
Best Odds
Under
-125

With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's unimpressive 110.5 points per game as the home team places 7th-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.6). The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.5
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.5

With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's unimpressive 110.5 points per game as the home team places 7th-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a hard one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.6). The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

M. Strus
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-120

In comparison to last season's 2.1 rate, Max Strus's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.9. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's unimpressive 110.5 points per game as the home team places 7th-worst in the NBA this year. The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are playing at home (13th-least in the NBA).

Max Strus

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

In comparison to last season's 2.1 rate, Max Strus's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.9. With respect to offense, the Cavaliers's unimpressive 110.5 points per game as the home team places 7th-worst in the NBA this year. The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics). The matchup against Boston may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are playing at home (13th-least in the NBA).

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jarrett Allen has successfully made a whopping 68.1% of his field goal attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 62.3 rate last year. The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jarrett Allen has attempted 4.3 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.7 rate last year.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Jarrett Allen has successfully made a whopping 68.1% of his field goal attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 62.3 rate last year. The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jarrett Allen has attempted 4.3 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.7 rate last year.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 10thworst in in the league on the road with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year. On the road, the Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 25.0 foul shots per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Al Horford

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games. The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics. Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 10thworst in in the league on the road with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year. On the road, the Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 25.0 foul shots per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Darius Garland has attempted 19.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Darius Garland rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 three-pointers per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, making this a favorable matchup. The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 4.8 mark, Darius Garland's number of foul shot attempts has jumped this year to 5.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Darius Garland

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.6

Darius Garland has attempted 19.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Darius Garland rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 three-pointers per game (29th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, making this a favorable matchup. The Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Relative to last year's 4.8 mark, Darius Garland's number of foul shot attempts has jumped this year to 5.6 foul shot attempts per game.

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Sam Hauser has made an impressive 51.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 41.3 rate last year. In contrast to last season's 1.8 mark, Sam Hauser's threes sunk have risen this season to 3.0 per game. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for scoring; opposing clubs have tallied the 4th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (39.8). Sam Hauser should see an increase in productivity for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Sam Hauser has made an impressive 51.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 41.3 rate last year. In contrast to last season's 1.8 mark, Sam Hauser's threes sunk have risen this season to 3.0 per game. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for scoring; opposing clubs have tallied the 4th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (39.8). Sam Hauser should see an increase in productivity for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.2
Best Odds
Over
-122

Derrick White has made a whopping 45.4% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit higher than his 35.5 mark last year. Derrick White has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. Derrick White has made a whopping 3.1 free throws per game this season, a big improvement over his 2.0 mark last season. Derrick White will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Derrick White

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.2

Derrick White has made a whopping 45.4% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit higher than his 35.5 mark last year. Derrick White has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. Derrick White has made a whopping 3.1 free throws per game this season, a big improvement over his 2.0 mark last season. Derrick White will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are the visiting squad (23rd-most in the NBA). Jrue Holiday should see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are the visiting squad (23rd-most in the NBA). Jrue Holiday should see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe. Jaylen Brown will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production across the board.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown rates in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.1 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe. Jaylen Brown will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player production across the board.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-167

Jayson Tatum has totaled 26.1 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 96th percentile. Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. Jayson Tatum will likely see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Jayson Tatum has totaled 26.1 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 96th percentile. Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. Jayson Tatum will likely see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-192

In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers, finding it easy to get to the foul line. Kristaps Porzingis figures to see a rise in output across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

In regard to shooting, the Boston Celtics's terrific 124.0 points per game at home rates 4th-highest in the league this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers, finding it easy to get to the foul line. Kristaps Porzingis figures to see a rise in output across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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