Final Nov 22
BK 98 3.0 o214.5
PHI 113 -3.0 u214.5
Final Nov 22
BOS 108 -15.5 o238.5
WAS 96 15.5 u238.5
Final Nov 22
GS 112 -10.5 o221.5
NO 108 10.5 u221.5
Final Nov 22
POR 88 11.5 o226.0
HOU 116 -11.5 u226.0
Final Nov 22
IND 117 5.5 o235.5
MIL 129 -5.5 u235.5
Final Nov 22
ATL 122 -2.0 o246.0
CHI 136 2.0 u246.0
Final Nov 22
DAL 123 4.5 o229.0
DEN 120 -4.5 u229.0
Final Nov 22
SAC 88 -4.0 o217.0
LAC 104 4.0 u217.0
Charlotte 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE21-61
Miami 8th EASTERN CONFERENCE46-36

Charlotte @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Charlotte

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Under
-114

The Hornets have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have shot 51.6% on shot attempts from the field (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Hornets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. Compared to last year's 77.5% mark, Gordon Hayward's foul-shot performance has been reduced this year to 67.4%. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.7 free throws per game this year when the Miami Heat are on their home court (12th-least in the league).

Gordon Hayward

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

The Hornets have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have shot 51.6% on shot attempts from the field (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a strong matchup. The Hornets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. Compared to last year's 77.5% mark, Gordon Hayward's foul-shot performance has been reduced this year to 67.4%. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.7 free throws per game this year when the Miami Heat are on their home court (12th-least in the league).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Jaquez Jr.
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this year away from home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.6 more than he's made in all games this year away from home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 4.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Kyle Lowry Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Lowry
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. In comparison to last year's 94.9% mark, Kyle Lowry's free-throw proficiency has jumped this year to 88.9%. Kyle Lowry will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Kyle Lowry

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. In comparison to last year's 94.9% mark, Kyle Lowry's free-throw proficiency has jumped this year to 88.9%. Kyle Lowry will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Charlotte

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Under
-124

Relative to last year's 8.0 mark, Terry Rozier's shot attempts from downtown have regressed this year to 6.9 per game. Terry Rozier has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Hornets have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Hornets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. Terry Rozier stands to see a decline in production in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

Terry Rozier

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

Relative to last year's 8.0 mark, Terry Rozier's shot attempts from downtown have regressed this year to 6.9 per game. Terry Rozier has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The Hornets have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Hornets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. Terry Rozier stands to see a decline in production in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Charlotte

P. Washington
power forward PF • Charlotte
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

P.J. Washington has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense). Compared to last season's 2.5 rate, P.J. Washington's number of foul shot attempts has spiked this season to 2.7 foul shot attempts per game.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

P.J. Washington has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense). Compared to last season's 2.5 rate, P.J. Washington's number of foul shot attempts has spiked this season to 2.7 foul shot attempts per game.

Brandon Miller Points Scored Props • Charlotte

B. Miller
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
+100

Brandon Miller has made 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season without the home court advantage. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 19.6 points per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Brandon Miller

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Brandon Miller has made 3.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season without the home court advantage. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 19.6 points per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive output. The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Charlotte

N. Richards
center C • Charlotte
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+100

Nick Richards has made an impressive 4.5 baskets per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.4 mark last year. The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense). Relative to last season's 73.2% mark, Nick Richards's foul-shot effectiveness has surged this season to 92.5%.

Nick Richards

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Nick Richards has made an impressive 4.5 baskets per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.4 mark last year. The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense). Relative to last season's 73.2% mark, Nick Richards's foul-shot effectiveness has surged this season to 92.5%.

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

In contrast to last year's 37.9% clip, Kevin Love's field goal efficiency has risen this year to 46.1%. In comparison to last season's 39.8% clip, Kevin Love's 3-point effectiveness has surged this season to 46.7%. Kevin Love has been on the court for an impressive 21.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 17.1 minutes per game last year. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Kevin Love

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

In contrast to last year's 37.9% clip, Kevin Love's field goal efficiency has risen this year to 46.1%. In comparison to last season's 39.8% clip, Kevin Love's 3-point effectiveness has surged this season to 46.7%. Kevin Love has been on the court for an impressive 21.7 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 17.1 minutes per game last year. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Miles Bridges Points Scored Props • Charlotte

M. Bridges
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-122

Miles Bridges has made 7.4 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Miles Bridges ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for threes; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (47.1%). The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Miles Bridges

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Miles Bridges has made 7.4 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Miles Bridges ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for threes; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (47.1%). The Charlotte Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat). Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 13thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Miami

J. Butler
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jimmy Butler has registered an impressive 26.0 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 25.2 points per game last year. Jimmy Butler has successfully made a whopping 41.9% of his three-point shots this year, quite a bit more than his 31.6 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler places in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Jimmy Butler has registered an impressive 26.0 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 25.2 points per game last year. Jimmy Butler has successfully made a whopping 41.9% of his three-point shots this year, quite a bit more than his 31.6 rate last year. Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler places in the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Caleb Martin Points Scored Props • Miami

C. Martin
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Caleb Martin has attempted 10.9 field goals per game this year, quite a bit more than his 7.9 mark last year. Caleb Martin has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.4 more than he's tallied overall this season at home. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 2.1 3-pointers per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Caleb Martin

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Caleb Martin has attempted 10.9 field goals per game this year, quite a bit more than his 7.9 mark last year. Caleb Martin has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.4 more than he's tallied overall this season at home. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 2.1 3-pointers per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Duncan Robinson has put up an impressive 14.8 points per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.3 points per game last season. In contrast to last season's 1.7 clip, Duncan Robinson's three-pointers converted have surged this season to 3.0 per game. In contrast to last season's 16.6 rate, Duncan Robinson's playing time has increased this season to 29.1 minutes per game. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Duncan Robinson has put up an impressive 14.8 points per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.3 points per game last season. In contrast to last season's 1.7 clip, Duncan Robinson's three-pointers converted have surged this season to 3.0 per game. In contrast to last season's 16.6 rate, Duncan Robinson's playing time has increased this season to 29.1 minutes per game. The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

Orlando Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

O. Robinson
center C • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The matchup vs. Charlotte is a good one for three-pointers; when the Charlotte Hornets are on the road, the opposition's starting Cs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (54.8%). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. Orlando Robinson will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production across the board.

Orlando Robinson

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

The Heat rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year. The matchup vs. Charlotte is a good one for three-pointers; when the Charlotte Hornets are on the road, the opposition's starting Cs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (54.8%). The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home. Orlando Robinson will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production across the board.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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