Memphis 13th WESTERN CONFERENCE27-55
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41

Memphis @ Houston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made a terrific 50.3% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit more than his 27.6 rate last year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 6.6 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. has made a whopping 95.8% of his foul shots this season, significantly more than his 80.7 mark last season.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made a terrific 50.3% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit more than his 27.6 rate last year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 6.6 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Jabari Smith Jr. has made a whopping 95.8% of his foul shots this season, significantly more than his 80.7 mark last season.

Desmond Bane Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Bane
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Under
-125

Among all players in the league, Desmond Bane rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.2 fouls per game while playing at home this year. When it comes to offense, the Grizzlies's unimpressive 106.6 points per game while at home measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.5). The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.

Desmond Bane

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Among all players in the league, Desmond Bane rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.2 fouls per game while playing at home this year. When it comes to offense, the Grizzlies's unimpressive 106.6 points per game while at home measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (10.5). The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies.

Santi Aldama Points Scored Props • Memphis

S. Aldama
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Santi Aldama has attempted 11.4 shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 6.7 rate last season. Santi Aldama has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.4 mark last year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has captured 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Santi Aldama

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Santi Aldama has attempted 11.4 shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 6.7 rate last season. Santi Aldama has attempted 5.3 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.4 mark last year. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has captured 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

David Roddy Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Roddy
small forward SF • Memphis
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has captured 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense). This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

David Roddy

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has captured 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense). This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.6 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Derrick Rose Points Scored Props • Memphis

D. Rose
point guard PG • Memphis
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

When it comes to offense, the Grizzlies's unimpressive 106.6 points per game while at home measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Houston is a difficult one; when the Houston Rockets are playing at home, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (13.8). The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Derrick Rose

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

When it comes to offense, the Grizzlies's unimpressive 106.6 points per game while at home measures as the 2nd-worst in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Houston is a difficult one; when the Houston Rockets are playing at home, they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (13.8). The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies. The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Grizzlies. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Rockets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-125

Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Dillon Brooks figures to see an increase in productivity for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 30.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Dillon Brooks figures to see an increase in productivity for all stats considering possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

J. Jackson Jr.
power forward PF • Memphis
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.8
Best Odds
Over
-119

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has captured 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense). Jaren Jackson Jr. has made a terrific 5.3 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.9 rate last year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (28th-most in the league) against the Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.8
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.8

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has captured 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense). Jaren Jackson Jr. has made a terrific 5.3 free throws per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.9 rate last year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.7 free throws per game (28th-most in the league) against the Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 8.5 clip, Tari Eason's shots have risen this year to 7.7 per game. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 8 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have attempted 22.6 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Tari Eason will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Tari Eason

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Relative to last year's 8.5 clip, Tari Eason's shots have risen this year to 7.7 per game. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 8 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have attempted 22.6 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Tari Eason will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Vince Williams Jr. Points Scored Props • Memphis

V. Williams Jr.
shooting guard SG • Memphis
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 9.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has captured 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense). Vince Williams Jr. has converted an impressive 1.7 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 0.2 rate last season. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Vince Williams Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Vince Williams Jr. has averaged 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 9.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA playing at home this year as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has captured 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense). Vince Williams Jr. has converted an impressive 1.7 free throws per game this season, significantly more than his 0.2 rate last season. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (25th-most in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Alperen Sengun has successfully made an impressive 8.4 baskets per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.9 rate last year. Alperen Sengun has played 31.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Memphis may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 22 games when the Grizzlies are on their home court (24th-most in the NBA).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Alperen Sengun has successfully made an impressive 8.4 baskets per game this year, a big improvement over his 5.9 rate last year. Alperen Sengun has played 31.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Memphis may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game over the last 22 games when the Grizzlies are on their home court (24th-most in the NBA).

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.3 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game while at home this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.0 free throws per game this year when the Grizzlies are the visiting team (30th-most in the league).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Fred VanVleet has attempted 8.3 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet comes in at the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game while at home this year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.0 free throws per game this year when the Grizzlies are the visiting team (30th-most in the league).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.7
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jalen Green has notched 18.5 points per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Green has attempted 5.7 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 6.5 rate last year. The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (25th-most in the NBA).

Jalen Green

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.7
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.7

Jalen Green has notched 18.5 points per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard. In terms of 3-pointers, the Rockets's impressive 38.3% rate of made threes at home comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA this year. The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Jalen Green has attempted 5.7 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 6.5 rate last year. The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (25th-most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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