Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Portland 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61
NBALP

Dallas @ Portland props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Toumani Camara Points Scored Props • Portland

T. Camara
power forward PF • Portland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Toumani Camara has missed 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the year. Toumani Camara has accumulated 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 8.7 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA while at home this year.

Toumani Camara

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.4

Toumani Camara has missed 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's missed from 3-point range over the course of the year. Toumani Camara has accumulated 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 8.7 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, designating this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA while at home this year.

Jerami Grant Points Scored Props • Portland

J. Grant
small forward SF • Portland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Jerami Grant has put up 22.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 91st percentile. Jerami Grant has made 56.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jerami Grant has averaged 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 15.8 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Jerami Grant

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Jerami Grant has put up 22.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 91st percentile. Jerami Grant has made 56.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jerami Grant has averaged 34.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 94th percentile. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 15.8 field goal attempts per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
34.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.8
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
34.5 Points Scored
Projection
32.8
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The matchup against Portland is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Trail Blazers are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 10th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.9). The Dallas Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 8.0 free throws per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 rate last year. Luka Doncic should suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 34.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.8
Prop:
34.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.8

The matchup against Portland is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Trail Blazers are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 10th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.9). The Dallas Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Luka Doncic has attempted a measly 8.0 free throws per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 10.5 rate last year. Luka Doncic should suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

Grant Williams Points Scored Props • Dallas

G. Williams
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Grant Williams has converted 2.3 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 124.0 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-fastest tempo road team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Portland may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Portland Trail Blazers are playing at home (25th-most in the NBA).

Grant Williams

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Grant Williams has converted 2.3 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league. When it comes to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 124.0 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 5th-fastest tempo road team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. With the home court advantage, the Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Portland may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Portland Trail Blazers are playing at home (25th-most in the NBA).

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.7 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Dallas Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Derrick Jones Jr. figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.7 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, resulting in a challenging matchup. The Dallas Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe. Derrick Jones Jr. figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Shaedon Sharpe Points Scored Props • Portland

S. Sharpe
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Shaedon Sharpe places in the 84th percentile for shots taken playing at home, totaling 14.4 per game this year. Shaedon Sharpe has attempted 8.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Shaedon Sharpe has been on the court for a whopping 36.2 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 21.8 minutes per game last season. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.2). The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Shaedon Sharpe

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Among all players in the league, Shaedon Sharpe places in the 84th percentile for shots taken playing at home, totaling 14.4 per game this year. Shaedon Sharpe has attempted 8.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Shaedon Sharpe has been on the court for a whopping 36.2 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 21.8 minutes per game last season. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 28th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.2). The Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Trail Blazers.

Anfernee Simons Points Scored Props • Portland

A. Simons
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.4
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA while at home this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Anfernee Simons

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.4

The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA while at home this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense). Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; when the Trail Blazers are on their home court, opposing squads have posted the 2nd-highest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (51.4%). The Dallas Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Tim Hardaway Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; when the Trail Blazers are on their home court, opposing squads have posted the 2nd-highest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (51.4%). The Dallas Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Tim Hardaway Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Exum
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Dante Exum has scored 16.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 higher than he's scored in all games this year. Dante Exum has sunk 57.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 26.3% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Dante Exum has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year. When it comes to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 124.0 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a positive one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most baskets per game in the NBA this year (6.7).

Dante Exum

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Dante Exum has scored 16.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 higher than he's scored in all games this year. Dante Exum has sunk 57.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 26.3% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season. Dante Exum has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year. When it comes to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 124.0 points per game comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a positive one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most baskets per game in the NBA this year (6.7).

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Portland

D. Ayton
center C • Portland
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Deandre Ayton has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (79th percentile). The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA while at home this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Deandre Ayton has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (79th percentile). The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA while at home this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II measures in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 3.2 fouls per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a measly 0.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (15th-least in the league). Dereck Lively II will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II measures in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 3.2 fouls per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a measly 0.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (15th-least in the league). Dereck Lively II will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

Malcolm Brogdon Points Scored Props • Portland

M. Brogdon
shooting guard SG • Portland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA while at home this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

Malcolm Brogdon

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The Trail Blazers check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA while at home this year. This year, the other team has nabbed 12.0 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Mavericks (continuing possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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