Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
New Orleans 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
BSN, NBALP, Space City Home Network

Houston @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 20.6% of his three-pointers while on the road this year, placing him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.1 fouls per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.4 three attempts per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 20.6% of his three-pointers while on the road this year, placing him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.1 fouls per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 3.4 three attempts per game (11th-fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, branding this as a difficult matchup. The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Zion Williamson Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Z. Williamson
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Zion Williamson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court with respect to three-point attempts. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on three-pointers (15th-weakest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce plays for the New Orleans Pelicans. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

Zion Williamson

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Zion Williamson has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court with respect to three-point attempts. This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on three-pointers (15th-weakest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce plays for the New Orleans Pelicans. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

This year, opposing clubs have shot 31.4% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jose Alvarado has attempted 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jose Alvarado will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

This year, opposing clubs have shot 31.4% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Jose Alvarado has attempted 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jose Alvarado will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.4
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have posted the 22nd-highest FG% in the league this year (45.5%). The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). CJ McCollum has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.4
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.4

Among all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Houston is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have posted the 22nd-highest FG% in the league this year (45.5%). The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). CJ McCollum has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 12.3% more than he's converted over the course of the season.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Brandon Ingram has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this year at home. The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court with respect to three-point attempts. The Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce plays for the New Orleans Pelicans. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense). The matchup against Houston may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are away from home (11th-least in the league).

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Brandon Ingram has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this year at home. The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court with respect to three-point attempts. The Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce plays for the New Orleans Pelicans. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense). The matchup against Houston may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are away from home (11th-least in the league).

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Jonas Valanciunas has made 67.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.0% more than he's made over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 61.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.1% higher than he's made from three overall this year. This year, opposing clubs have shot 31.4% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup. While away from his home court and facing other starting Cs, Alperen Sengun rates in the 83rd percentile with a colossal 12.4 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Jonas Valanciunas has made 67.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 6.0% more than he's made over the course of the season with the home court advantage. Jonas Valanciunas has successfully made 61.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 25.1% higher than he's made from three overall this year. This year, opposing clubs have shot 31.4% on threes (weakest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup. While away from his home court and facing other starting Cs, Alperen Sengun rates in the 83rd percentile with a colossal 12.4 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-124
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
-124
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.0 minutes per game this year. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 80th percentile for foul-shot prowess while at home with a an excellent 90.8% rate this year. Herbert Jones figures to see an increase in output in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.0 minutes per game this year. The 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 80th percentile for foul-shot prowess while at home with a an excellent 90.8% rate this year. Herbert Jones figures to see an increase in output in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has logged 17.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's logged in all games this year. Relative to last season's 32.6% clip, Dillon Brooks's 3-point prowess has spiked this season to 43.1%. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans). When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Rockets's outstanding 28.0 free throws per game without the home court advantage settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Dillon Brooks has logged 17.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's logged in all games this year. Relative to last season's 32.6% clip, Dillon Brooks's 3-point prowess has spiked this season to 43.1%. Dillon Brooks has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans). When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Rockets's outstanding 28.0 free throws per game without the home court advantage settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.2
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 8.0 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Alperen Sengun has successfully made 44.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile. The Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans). When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Rockets's outstanding 28.0 free throws per game without the home court advantage settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.2

Alperen Sengun has successfully made 8.0 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league. Alperen Sengun has successfully made 44.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Alperen Sengun has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile. The Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans). When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Rockets's outstanding 28.0 free throws per game without the home court advantage settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Tari Eason has sunk 53.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 18.7% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Tari Eason has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. This year, the other team has averaged 34.4% on threes (5th-weakest in the league) against the Pelicans, creating a difficult matchup. The Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans). When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Rockets's outstanding 28.0 free throws per game without the home court advantage settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Tari Eason

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Tari Eason has sunk 53.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 18.7% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Tari Eason has averaged 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season. This year, the other team has averaged 34.4% on threes (5th-weakest in the league) against the Pelicans, creating a difficult matchup. The Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans). When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Rockets's outstanding 28.0 free throws per game without the home court advantage settles in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-112
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-112
Projection Rating

Jalen Green has posted a lowly 17.4 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 22.1 points per game last year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 14 games when they are on the road, the other team has captured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can generate added chances for offense). Jalen Green has attempted just 4.7 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 6.1 mark last year.

Jalen Green

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Jalen Green has posted a lowly 17.4 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 22.1 points per game last year. The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA when playing away from home this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Houston Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year. Over the last 14 games when they are on the road, the other team has captured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can generate added chances for offense). Jalen Green has attempted just 4.7 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 6.1 mark last year.

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Trey Murphy III has averaged just 25.6 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.2 minutes per game last season. The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court with respect to three-point attempts. The Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce plays for the New Orleans Pelicans. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense). Over the last 15 games, their opposition has attempted 27.5 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.3

Trey Murphy III has averaged just 25.6 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.2 minutes per game last season. The Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games on their home court with respect to three-point attempts. The Rockets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league while traveling this year, which should reduce plays for the New Orleans Pelicans. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets (saving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense). Over the last 15 games, their opposition has attempted 27.5 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Fred VanVleet has put up 22.6 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.0 higher than he's put up in all games this season on the road. Fred VanVleet has made 49.4% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 8.9% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year away from home. Fred VanVleet has tallied 38.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Pelicans have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans).

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Fred VanVleet has put up 22.6 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.0 higher than he's put up in all games this season on the road. Fred VanVleet has made 49.4% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 8.9% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year away from home. Fred VanVleet has tallied 38.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 100th percentile. The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; when the Pelicans have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.5). The Rockets are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pelicans).

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
--
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-135
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
--
Best Odds
Over
+105
Under
-135

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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