Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Phoenix 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33
Houston 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE41-41
AZ Family, Space City Home Network, NBALP

Phoenix @ Houston props

Toyota Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jae'Sean Tate Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Tate
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Under
+105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Under
+105
Projection Rating

Jae'Sean Tate has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile). In terms of shooting, the Rockets's poor 44.7% field goal rate places 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns). This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about more chances for offense). Jae'Sean Tate has converted 0.4 foul shots per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the league.

Jae'Sean Tate

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

Jae'Sean Tate has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile). In terms of shooting, the Rockets's poor 44.7% field goal rate places 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns). This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about more chances for offense). Jae'Sean Tate has converted 0.4 foul shots per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the league.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
center C • Houston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Under
-123

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of shooting, the Rockets's poor 44.7% field goal rate places 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns). This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about more chances for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a whopping 24.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Out of all players in the league, Alperen Sengun ranks in the 87th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.7 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year. In terms of shooting, the Rockets's poor 44.7% field goal rate places 2nd-weakest in the league over the last 10 games. The Houston Rockets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns). This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about more chances for offense). This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a whopping 24.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (7th-most in the NBA).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-113

With respect to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's subpar 106.6 points per game without the home court advantage rates lowest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a challenging one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%). The 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Kevin Durant is expected to see a decline in production in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

With respect to shooting, the Phoenix Suns's subpar 106.6 points per game without the home court advantage rates lowest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a challenging one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 15th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%). The 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns. Kevin Durant is expected to see a decline in production in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Eric Gordon Points Scored Props • Phoenix

E. Gordon
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Eric Gordon has attempted 6.4 treys per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Eric Gordon has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Eric Gordon

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Eric Gordon has attempted 6.4 treys per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Eric Gordon has played 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Over
-108

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green lands in the 83rd percentile for shots taken, compiling 14.0 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Jalen Green has attempted 4.7 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jalen Green

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green lands in the 83rd percentile for shots taken, compiling 14.0 per game this year. Jalen Green has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Jalen Green has attempted 4.7 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
-128

Grayson Allen has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Grayson Allen places in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Grayson Allen

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Grayson Allen has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Grayson Allen places in the 86th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.1
Best Odds
Over
-108

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.7 minutes per game playing at home this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup against Phoenix may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are away from home (29th-most in the NBA).

Jabari Smith Jr.

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.1

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. comes in at the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 30.7 minutes per game playing at home this year. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup against Phoenix may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Phoenix Suns are away from home (29th-most in the NBA).

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 12.3 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The matchup against Alperen Sengun is a good one for shots from downtown; when Sengun is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 42.1% of their treys (90th percentile). The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 12.3 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season. The matchup against Alperen Sengun is a good one for shots from downtown; when Sengun is playing at home other starting Cs this year, they have converted a whopping 42.1% of their treys (90th percentile). The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Tari Eason Points Scored Props • Houston

T. Eason
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Tari Eason has made 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court. Tari Eason has tallied 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on 3-pointers (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns, designating this as a good matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Tari Eason

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Tari Eason has made 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court. Tari Eason has tallied 26.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on 3-pointers (23rd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns, designating this as a good matchup. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.6
Best Odds
Over
-106

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet measures in the 93rd percentile for 3-point attempts with the home court advantage, putting up 7.5 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has played 36.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Fred VanVleet has sunk 93.5% of his free throw attempts while playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.6

Among all players in the league, Fred VanVleet measures in the 93rd percentile for 3-point attempts with the home court advantage, putting up 7.5 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has played 36.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Fred VanVleet has sunk 93.5% of his free throw attempts while playing at home this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Devin Booker has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Devin Booker slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.9 minutes per game this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Devin Booker

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Devin Booker has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Devin Booker slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.9 minutes per game this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have collected 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic