Final Oct 4
BOS 107 -1.0 o217.5
DEN 103 1.0 u217.5
Final Oct 4
MIN 124 -4.5 o215.5
LAL 107 4.5 u215.5
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
Boston 1st EASTERN CONFERENCE64-18
NBCSB, BSN, NBATV

Detroit @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Knox II Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Knox II
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.8
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

In terms of scoring, the Pistons's subpar 109.4 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Detroit Pistons. The Boston Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Knox II ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing away from home in this contest.

Kevin Knox II

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.8

In terms of scoring, the Pistons's subpar 109.4 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 25 games. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have logged 14.5 points per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive output. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Detroit Pistons. The Boston Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Knox II ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing away from home in this contest.

Killian Hayes Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Hayes
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Compared to last year's 2.9 clip, Killian Hayes's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 1.9. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (109.9). The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, their opposition has attempted 19.1 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Killian Hayes

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8

Compared to last year's 2.9 clip, Killian Hayes's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 1.9. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one; they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (109.9). The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, their opposition has attempted 19.1 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 6.0 rate, Bojan Bogdanovic's 3-point attempts have risen this season to 7.5 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, resulting in a strong matchup. The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.2

Compared to last season's 6.0 rate, Bojan Bogdanovic's 3-point attempts have risen this season to 7.5 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic comes in at the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.1 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, resulting in a strong matchup. The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.0 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Pistons, labeling this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.0 3-point attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Pistons, labeling this as a tough matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game.

Cade Cunningham Points Scored Props • Detroit

C. Cunningham
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In terms of scoring, the Pistons's subpar 109.4 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Detroit Pistons. The Boston Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league). Cade Cunningham should see a decline in effectiveness for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Cade Cunningham

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

In terms of scoring, the Pistons's subpar 109.4 points per game measures as the 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Detroit Pistons. The Boston Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the league). Cade Cunningham should see a decline in effectiveness for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.7
Best Odds
Under
-118

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 31.6 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Pistons, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.7
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.7

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 31.6 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Pistons, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Under
-137

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.9 fouls per game playing at home this year. This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; opposing squads have posted the 2nd-highest field goal percentage in the league over the last 15 games (50.8%). The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.9 fouls per game playing at home this year. This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; opposing squads have posted the 2nd-highest field goal percentage in the league over the last 15 games (50.8%). The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Under
+110

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 27.6% on 3-pointers (14th-worst in the league) against the Pistons, resulting in a tough matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game.

Derrick White

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 27.6% on 3-pointers (14th-worst in the league) against the Pistons, resulting in a tough matchup. The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 31.6 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Pistons, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 5th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.3 free throws per game. Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have attempted 31.6 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Pistons, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jrue Holiday has sunk 6.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's made in all games this season. Jrue Holiday has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Celtics are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Detroit Pistons). The Boston Celtics have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Jrue Holiday has sunk 6.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's made in all games this season. Jrue Holiday has successfully made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown overall this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Celtics are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace away offense in the NBA this year (the Detroit Pistons). The Boston Celtics have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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