San Antonio @ Portland props

Moses Brown has converted 33.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% less than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year while on his home court. The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team has averaged 39.7% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, making this a favorable matchup. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. Moses Brown has made 41.4% of his foul shots since the start of last season, ranking in the 2nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Matisse Thybulle has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (20th percentile). The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should raise plays for the Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has come down with 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark further opportunities for offense). Matisse Thybulle should get a boost in output across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

In comparison to last season's 22.0 clip, Keldon Johnson's points per game have dropped this season to 17.2. Keldon Johnson has attempted and missed 4.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's missed over the course of the year when playing on the road. The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a good one; they have given up the 9th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (120.7). The Spurs are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Trail Blazers). The Spurs check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Zach Collins has sunk 46.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 11.1% more than he's sunk overall this season. The San Antonio Spurs check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The clash with Moses Brown measures in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring an enormous 22.5 points per game this year when they are on the visiting team. The 2nd-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Spurs. This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (reducing possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense).

Among all players in the league, Jerami Grant comes in at the 89th percentile for 3-point shots drained, averaging 2.4 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jerami Grant ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.0 minutes per game this year. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should raise plays for the Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has come down with 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark further opportunities for offense).

The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year, opposing teams have totaled 14.4 threes per game (most in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a good matchup. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games. This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 24.2 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (8th-most in the NBA).

The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should raise plays for the Trail Blazers. The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has come down with 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark further opportunities for offense). Toumani Camara should get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Malcolm Brogdon has attempted 13.3 shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 10.8 mark last season. Malcolm Brogdon has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season on his home court. Malcolm Brogdon has been on the court for 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 54.7% on shot attempts from the field (29th-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, making this a favorable matchup. The Spurs have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should raise plays for the Trail Blazers.