Toronto 12th EASTERN CONFERENCE25-57
Golden State 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
NBCS - BA, TSN

Toronto @ Golden State props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jakob Poeltl Points Scored Props • Toronto

J. Poeltl
center C • Toronto
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jakob Poeltl has converted 64.3% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The faceoff with Trayce Jackson-Davis registers in the 97th percentile with rival starting Cs burying a whopping 49.4% of their treys this year when they are away from home. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a good one for getting to the foul line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.8 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Jakob Poeltl

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Jakob Poeltl has converted 64.3% of his shots from the field while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The faceoff with Trayce Jackson-Davis registers in the 97th percentile with rival starting Cs burying a whopping 49.4% of their treys this year when they are away from home. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a good one for getting to the foul line; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.8 free throws per game (100th percentile).

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Under
-122

Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry slots into the 88th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Warriors rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Toronto is a challenging one for threes; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, opposing starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest three rate in the league this year (23.6%). The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Toronto may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Raptors are away from home (11th-least in the NBA).

Stephen Curry

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Out of all players in the league, Stephen Curry slots into the 88th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Warriors rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year. The matchup vs. Toronto is a challenging one for threes; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, opposing starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest three rate in the league this year (23.6%). The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Toronto may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Raptors are away from home (11th-least in the NBA).

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Under
-125

Jonathan Kuminga has converted 21.8% of his three-point attempts this year, putting him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Warriors rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year. The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. In comparison to last year's 0.7 clip, Jonathan Kuminga's unsuccessful free throw attempts have increased this year to 1.2 per game.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Jonathan Kuminga has converted 21.8% of his three-point attempts this year, putting him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 88th percentile for technical fouls, logging a massive 0.1 fouls per game this year. The Warriors rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year. The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. In comparison to last year's 0.7 clip, Jonathan Kuminga's unsuccessful free throw attempts have increased this year to 1.2 per game.

Dario Saric Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Saric
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The Warriors rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year. Over the last 5 games, their opposition has logged 123.2 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Dario Saric

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

The Warriors rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year. Over the last 5 games, their opposition has logged 123.2 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Golden State

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-124
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Under
-124
Projection Rating

The Warriors rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year. The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

The Warriors rank as the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league playing at home this year. The Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Golden State

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson ranks in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts with the home court advantage, registering 8.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson ranks in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 29.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors). The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Toronto Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Klay Thompson

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson ranks in the 96th percentile for 3-point attempts with the home court advantage, registering 8.2 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Klay Thompson ranks in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 29.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Warriors will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors). The Warriors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists). The Toronto Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett Points Scored Props • Toronto

R. Barrett
small forward SF • Toronto
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16
Best Odds
Under
-118

RJ Barrett has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on shots from the field (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Playing at home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

RJ Barrett

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16

RJ Barrett has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on shots from the field (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, identifying this as a hard matchup. The Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Playing at home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gary Trent Jr. Points Scored Props • Toronto

G. Trent Jr.
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Gary Trent Jr. has sunk 58.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 18.3% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season away from his home court. Out of all players in the league, Gary Trent Jr. slots into the 19th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Gary Trent Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Gary Trent Jr. has sunk 58.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 18.3% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season away from his home court. Out of all players in the league, Gary Trent Jr. slots into the 19th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Dennis Schroder Points Scored Props • Toronto

D. Schroder
point guard PG • Toronto
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots. The Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Playing at home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 24.9 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league). Dennis Schroder should experience a decrease in efficiency across the board as a result of being on the road in this game.

Dennis Schroder

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

The Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots. The Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Warriors). Playing at home, the Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). This matchup is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 24.9 foul shots per game this year (5th-most in the league). Dennis Schroder should experience a decrease in efficiency across the board as a result of being on the road in this game.

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Toronto

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Toronto
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23
Best Odds
Over
-109

Pascal Siakam has made 10.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Pascal Siakam has sunk 63.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.0 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 15.8 shot attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, creating a positive matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23

Pascal Siakam has made 10.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Pascal Siakam has sunk 63.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 35.0 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have averaged 15.8 shot attempts per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, creating a positive matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

Immanuel Quickley Points Scored Props • Toronto

I. Quickley
shooting guard SG • Toronto
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-122

Immanuel Quickley has sunk 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Immanuel Quickley has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have put up the 25th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Immanuel Quickley

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Immanuel Quickley has sunk 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Immanuel Quickley has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing starting PGs have put up the 25th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (38.4%). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Toronto Raptors have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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