LIVE 11:44 3rd Oct 5
GS 53 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 49 6.0 u221.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Detroit 15th EASTERN CONFERENCE14-68
NBCSCA, BSN

Sacramento @ Detroit props

Little Caesars Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
+102
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Under
+102
Projection Rating

Relative to last year's 11.4 mark, Kevin Huerter's shots have been reduced this year to 8.7 per game. Kevin Huerter has averaged just 23.5 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 29.1 minutes per game last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on 3-pointers (14th-lowest in the league) against the Pistons, resulting in a difficult matchup. When it comes to drawing fouls, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.5 free throw attempts per game measures as the worst in the league over the last 15 games. Kevin Huerter will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance for all stats.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Relative to last year's 11.4 mark, Kevin Huerter's shots have been reduced this year to 8.7 per game. Kevin Huerter has averaged just 23.5 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 29.1 minutes per game last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on 3-pointers (14th-lowest in the league) against the Pistons, resulting in a difficult matchup. When it comes to drawing fouls, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.5 free throw attempts per game measures as the worst in the league over the last 15 games. Kevin Huerter will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance for all stats.

Killian Hayes Points Scored Props • Detroit

K. Hayes
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
-125

Killian Hayes has attempted just 7.7 shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 10.7 mark last season. In terms of scoring, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 110.4 points per game when playing at home measures as the 4th-worst in the league this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have scored 15.2 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive performance. Compared to last year's 82.3% clip, Killian Hayes's free-throw ability has fallen this year to 67.5%. The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are on the road (8th-least in the league).

Killian Hayes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Killian Hayes has attempted just 7.7 shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 10.7 mark last season. In terms of scoring, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 110.4 points per game when playing at home measures as the 4th-worst in the league this year. This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have scored 15.2 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive performance. Compared to last year's 82.3% clip, Killian Hayes's free-throw ability has fallen this year to 67.5%. The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are on the road (8th-least in the league).

Isaiah Livers Points Scored Props • Detroit

I. Livers
power forward PF • Detroit
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Isaiah Livers has made just 22.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly less than his 36.3 rate last year. Isaiah Livers has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season. In terms of scoring, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 110.4 points per game when playing at home measures as the 4th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against the Kings may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the league).

Isaiah Livers

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Isaiah Livers has made just 22.9% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly less than his 36.3 rate last year. Isaiah Livers has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season. In terms of scoring, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 110.4 points per game when playing at home measures as the 4th-worst in the league this year. The matchup against the Kings may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the league).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Malik Monk has registered 18.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's registered over the course of the year. Malik Monk has converted 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three overall this season. The 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Malik Monk has registered 18.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's registered over the course of the year. Malik Monk has converted 3.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three overall this season. The 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Over
-105

Harrison Barnes has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 29.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year. Over the last 16 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 19.5 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, creating a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Harrison Barnes has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 29.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year. Over the last 16 games when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 19.5 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, creating a strong matchup for offensive productivity. The 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.7
Best Odds
Under
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.2 fouls per game this year. In contrast to last year's 73.9% clip, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot ability has dropped this year to 59.0%. When it comes to drawing fouls, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.5 free throw attempts per game measures as the worst in the league over the last 15 games. Domantas Sabonis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production for all stats.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.2 fouls per game this year. In contrast to last year's 73.9% clip, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot ability has dropped this year to 59.0%. When it comes to drawing fouls, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.5 free throw attempts per game measures as the worst in the league over the last 15 games. Domantas Sabonis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production for all stats.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.2
Best Odds
Over
-130

Relative to last season's 18.7 clip, De'Aaron Fox's shots taken have increased this season to 21.4 per game. De'Aaron Fox has converted 5.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted in all games this season away from home. Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 35.0 minutes per game away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 21.2 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive production. The 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.2

Relative to last season's 18.7 clip, De'Aaron Fox's shots taken have increased this season to 21.4 per game. De'Aaron Fox has converted 5.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted in all games this season away from home. Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 35.0 minutes per game away from home this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 21.2 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, marking this as a favorable matchup for offensive production. The 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-122

Keegan Murray has attempted 6.1 3-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.3 minutes per game while on the road this year. The 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Keegan Murray has attempted 6.1 3-point shots per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.3 minutes per game while on the road this year. The 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Detroit Pistons). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Scored Props • Detroit

B. Bogdanovic
small forward SF • Detroit
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.5 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bojan Bogdanovic has tallied 33.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.3 three-pointers per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a good matchup. The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

Bojan Bogdanovic

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted 7.5 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bojan Bogdanovic has tallied 33.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.3 three-pointers per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a good matchup. The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

James Wiseman Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Wiseman
center C • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense). James Wiseman has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year playing at home.

James Wiseman

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense). James Wiseman has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 33.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year playing at home.

Jalen Duren Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Duren
center C • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jalen Duren has sunk 75.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.2% higher than he's made overall this year. The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).

Jalen Duren

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Jalen Duren has sunk 75.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.2% higher than he's made overall this year. The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).

Jaden Ivey Points Scored Props • Detroit

J. Ivey
point guard PG • Detroit
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17
Best Odds
Over
-140

Jaden Ivey has sunk 43.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 9.2% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 18.1 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity. The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Jaden Ivey

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17

Jaden Ivey has sunk 43.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 9.2% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up 18.1 points per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive productivity. The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Detroit

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Detroit
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has made 67.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).

Alec Burks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Alec Burks has made 67.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The Pistons have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the home team. The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings). Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year, opposing clubs have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce extra chances for offense).

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Trey Lyles slots into the 90th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (129.0). When it comes to drawing fouls, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.5 free throw attempts per game measures as the worst in the league over the last 15 games. This year, opposing teams have attempted 27.7 free throws per game (most in the league) against the Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Trey Lyles ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Trey Lyles

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.2

Among all players in the league, Trey Lyles slots into the 90th percentile for technical fouls, logging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game this year. The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (129.0). When it comes to drawing fouls, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 19.5 free throw attempts per game measures as the worst in the league over the last 15 games. This year, opposing teams have attempted 27.7 free throws per game (most in the league) against the Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. Trey Lyles ought to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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