Final OT Apr 18
MIA 123 -2.0 o221.0
ATL 114 2.0 u221.0
Final Apr 18
DAL 106 6.0 o222.0
MEM 120 -6.0 u222.0
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
BSN

Minnesota @ Orlando picks

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MIN vs ORL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
M. Fultz o5.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 -140 betmgm
Projection updated: 465 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -140
5.5 +105

Among all players in the NBA, Markelle Fultz rates in the 75th percentile for shots from the field made while playing at home, registering a whopping 5.2 per game since the start of last season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Markelle Fultz ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Points Scored
N. Alexander-Walker o4.5 Points Scored
Projection 5.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -110 bet365
Projection updated: 466 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -110
4.5 -120
4.5 -110
4.5 -120

In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 90.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 27.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Points Scored
C. Okeke o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 7.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 +106 fanduel
Projection updated: 465 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
6.5 +100
6.5 -130
6.5 +100
6.5 -130
6.5 +102
6.5 -139
6.5 -115
6.5 -115
6.5 +106
6.5 -130

In comparison to last season's 1.5 clip, Chuma Okeke's personal fouls per game have declined this season to 0.4. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Chuma Okeke will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production for all stats.

Total Rebounds
C. Okeke o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 6.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -120 betmgm
Projection updated: 465 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -130
4.5 +100
4.5 -120
4.5 -110
4.5 -156
4.5 +114
4.5 -145
4.5 +114
4.5 -144
4.5 +118

Chuma Okeke has totaled 3.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year. In comparison to last season's 1.5 clip, Chuma Okeke's personal fouls per game have declined this season to 0.4. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Chuma Okeke will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production for all stats.

Points Scored
A. Edwards u30.5 Points Scored
Projection 27.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u30.5 -125 bet365
Projection updated: 466 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
30.5 -105
30.5 -125
30.5 -110
30.5 -125
29.5 -115
29.5 -115
30.5 +102
30.5 -139
30.5 +105
30.5 -135
29.5 -110
29.5 -110

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic). The Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Anthony Edwards figures to experience a decrease in performance for all stats due to being on the road in this game.

Points Scored
P. Banchero u28.5 Points Scored
Projection 25.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u28.5 -130 bet365
Projection updated: 466 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
28.5 +100
28.5 -130
27.5 -120
27.5 -110
27.5 -125
27.5 -107
27.5 -132
27.5 -104
27.5 -120
27.5 -110
27.5 -110
27.5 -110

The Orlando Magic check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup for offensive output. The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Orlando Magic.

Total Rebounds
M. Fultz o1.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 465 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
1.5 -105
1.5 -125

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Markelle Fultz ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

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