LIVE 11:44 3rd Oct 5
GS 53 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 49 6.0 u221.5
Minnesota 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE56-26
Orlando 5th EASTERN CONFERENCE47-35
BSN

Minnesota @ Orlando props

Kia Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Markelle Fultz Points Scored Props • Orlando

M. Fultz
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Markelle Fultz rates in the 75th percentile for shots from the field made while playing at home, registering a whopping 5.2 per game since the start of last season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Markelle Fultz ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Markelle Fultz

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Among all players in the NBA, Markelle Fultz rates in the 75th percentile for shots from the field made while playing at home, registering a whopping 5.2 per game since the start of last season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe. Markelle Fultz ought to see a rise in output in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 90.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 27.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.9

In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense). Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 90.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 27.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Chuma Okeke Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Okeke
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 1.5 clip, Chuma Okeke's personal fouls per game have declined this season to 0.4. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Chuma Okeke will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production for all stats.

Chuma Okeke

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

In comparison to last season's 1.5 clip, Chuma Okeke's personal fouls per game have declined this season to 0.4. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Chuma Okeke will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases stat production for all stats.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
-125

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic). The Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Anthony Edwards figures to experience a decrease in performance for all stats due to being on the road in this game.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic). The Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Anthony Edwards figures to experience a decrease in performance for all stats due to being on the road in this game.

Paolo Banchero Points Scored Props • Orlando

P. Banchero
power forward PF • Orlando
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.6
Best Odds
Under
-130

The Orlando Magic check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup for offensive output. The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Orlando Magic.

Paolo Banchero

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.6

The Orlando Magic check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup for offensive output. The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Orlando Magic.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Naz Reid has converted 1.9 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Naz Reid

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Naz Reid has converted 1.9 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.2
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley ranks in the 87th percentile for three-point shots hit while playing away from home, tallying 2.3 per game this year. In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have shot 42.3% on three-pointers (25th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, resulting in a favorable matchup. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense). Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 91st percentile for foul-shot performance while playing away from home with a an outstanding 95.2% rate this year.

Mike Conley

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.2

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley ranks in the 87th percentile for three-point shots hit while playing away from home, tallying 2.3 per game this year. In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have shot 42.3% on three-pointers (25th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, resulting in a favorable matchup. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense). Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 91st percentile for foul-shot performance while playing away from home with a an outstanding 95.2% rate this year.

Cole Anthony Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Anthony
point guard PG • Orlando
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Cole Anthony has scored 14.2 points per game while at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Cole Anthony has sunk 95.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Cole Anthony

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Cole Anthony has scored 14.2 points per game while at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Cole Anthony has sunk 95.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.1 fouls per game when playing on the road this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic). The Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Karl-Anthony Towns stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns registers in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.1 fouls per game when playing on the road this year. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic). The Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Karl-Anthony Towns stands to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

Caleb Houstan Points Scored Props • Orlando

C. Houstan
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-104
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Under
-104
Projection Rating

The Orlando Magic check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Orlando Magic. Among all players in the league, Caleb Houstan registers in the 24th percentile for drawing fouls, tallying a lowly 0.6 foul shots per game when playing at home this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Caleb Houstan

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

The Orlando Magic check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home. The Magic have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Orlando Magic. Among all players in the league, Caleb Houstan registers in the 24th percentile for drawing fouls, tallying a lowly 0.6 foul shots per game when playing at home this year. Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Jalen Suggs Points Scored Props • Orlando

J. Suggs
shooting guard SG • Orlando
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-118

Jalen Suggs has attempted 14.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jalen Suggs has sunk 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Jalen Suggs has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense).

Jalen Suggs

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Jalen Suggs has attempted 14.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Jalen Suggs has sunk 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Jalen Suggs has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-125

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 5.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Jaden McDaniels has played 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 higher than he's played overall this season. In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 23rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.9). This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Jaden McDaniels has attempted 5.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Jaden McDaniels has played 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 higher than he's played overall this season. In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Orlando Magic is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 23rd-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.9). This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Goga Bitadze Points Scored Props • Orlando

G. Bitadze
center C • Orlando
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.7
Best Odds
Over
+106

Goga Bitadze has sunk 73.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this season at home. Goga Bitadze has converted 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 66.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this year while playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Goga Bitadze

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.7

Goga Bitadze has sunk 73.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 8.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this season at home. Goga Bitadze has converted 100.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 66.7% higher than he's converted from three overall this year while playing at home. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 12thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense). Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted 20.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds
Over
+102

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.3 minutes per game away from home this year. In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 32.3 minutes per game away from home this year. In regard to 3-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.5% rate of drained threes rates 2nd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic