Final Oct 5
GS 91 -6.0 o221.5
LAC 90 6.0 u221.5
Sacramento 9th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-36
Charlotte 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE21-61
NBALP

Sacramento @ Charlotte props

Spectrum Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Harrison Barnes has made 54.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 17.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the league).

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Harrison Barnes has made 54.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 17.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this year. The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.5 foul shots per game this year (30th-most in the league).

Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

T. Lyles
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
+104
Projection Rating

Trey Lyles has converted 61.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 20.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Trey Lyles has made 68.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 32.5% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Trey Lyles

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Trey Lyles has converted 61.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 20.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season. Trey Lyles has made 68.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 32.5% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Keegan Murray has made 7.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Keegan Murray has attempted 6.3 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.6 minutes per game away from home this year. The matchup vs. Charlotte is a favorable one for scoring; when the Hornets are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (8.7). The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Keegan Murray has made 7.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Keegan Murray has attempted 6.3 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.6 minutes per game away from home this year. The matchup vs. Charlotte is a favorable one for scoring; when the Hornets are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (8.7). The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings.

Nick Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Charlotte

N. Smith Jr.
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 8.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Nick Smith Jr. has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Hornets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense). Nick Smith Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Nick Smith Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 8.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Nick Smith Jr. has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled. The Hornets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense). Nick Smith Jr. has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.9
Best Odds
Under
-115

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 3.2 fouls per game this year. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets). Compared to last season's 73.9% clip, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot efficiency has declined this season to 60.1%. As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 15 games, averaging a lowly 19.5 foul shots per game. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 24.6 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.9
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.9

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 3.2 fouls per game this year. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets). Compared to last season's 73.9% clip, Domantas Sabonis's foul-shot efficiency has declined this season to 60.1%. As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 15 games, averaging a lowly 19.5 foul shots per game. This year when they are away from home, their opposition has attempted 24.6 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Charlotte

N. Richards
center C • Charlotte
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Over
+107

Nick Richards has converted 4.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while at home. Nick Richards has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Hornets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense). Nick Richards has converted 89.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 9.3% more than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

Nick Richards

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Nick Richards has converted 4.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while at home. Nick Richards has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's played in all games this season. The Hornets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense). Nick Richards has converted 89.3% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 9.3% more than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.3
Best Odds
Under
+110

De'Aaron Fox has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 11.3 field goal attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a hard matchup. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 15 games, averaging a lowly 19.5 foul shots per game. The matchup against the Hornets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game this year (13th-least in the league).

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.3

De'Aaron Fox has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 11.3 field goal attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a hard matchup. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 15 games, averaging a lowly 19.5 foul shots per game. The matchup against the Hornets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game this year (13th-least in the league).

Kevin Huerter Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Huerter
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.2
Best Odds
Under
-110

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter registers in the 18th percentile for shooting prowess with a a feeble 38.7% rate this year. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 15 games, averaging a lowly 19.5 foul shots per game. The matchup against Charlotte may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 19 games when the Hornets are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA). Kevin Huerter will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance across the board.

Kevin Huerter

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.2
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.2

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Huerter registers in the 18th percentile for shooting prowess with a a feeble 38.7% rate this year. The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets). As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: worst in the league over the last 15 games, averaging a lowly 19.5 foul shots per game. The matchup against Charlotte may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 19 games when the Hornets are on their home court (9th-least in the NBA). Kevin Huerter will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance across the board.

Bryce McGowens Points Scored Props • Charlotte

B. McGowens
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Bryce McGowens registers in the 23rd percentile for shooting proficiency with a a bad 39.6% rate this year. The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Bryce McGowens has attempted and missed 0.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.4 higher than he's missed over the course of the year while at home.

Bryce McGowens

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Bryce McGowens registers in the 23rd percentile for shooting proficiency with a a bad 39.6% rate this year. The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hornets. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Bryce McGowens has attempted and missed 0.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.4 higher than he's missed over the course of the year while at home.

Brandon Miller Points Scored Props • Charlotte

B. Miller
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-130

Brandon Miller has attempted 7.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller places in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.3). The Hornets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Brandon Miller

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Brandon Miller has attempted 7.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller places in the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 28th-most treys per game in the league this year (2.3). The Hornets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Charlotte

T. Rozier
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Terry Rozier has notched 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's notched over the course of the season. Terry Rozier has attempted 9.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.2 minutes per game this year. The Hornets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.8
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.8

Terry Rozier has notched 29.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's notched over the course of the season. Terry Rozier has attempted 9.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.2 minutes per game this year. The Hornets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Kings). This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.6
Best Odds
Over
-122

Malik Monk has attempted 13.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Malik Monk has attempted 7.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year. The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Malik Monk

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.6
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.6

Malik Monk has attempted 13.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Malik Monk has attempted 7.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year. The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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