LIVE Halftime Apr 29
MIL 47 7.5 o222.0
IND 41 -7.5 u222.0
DET 5.5 o215.5
NY -5.5 u215.5
ORL 11.5 o199.0
BOS -11.5 u199.0
LAC -2.0 o209.5
DEN 2.0 u209.5
Denver 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
Utah 12th WESTERN CONFERENCE31-52
NBALP, ESPN

Denver @ Utah props

Delta Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Simone Fontecchio Points Scored Props • Utah

S. Fontecchio
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.7
Best Odds
Over
-105

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 11.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Simone Fontecchio has attempted 5.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Simone Fontecchio has played 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Simone Fontecchio

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.7
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.7

Simone Fontecchio has attempted 11.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Simone Fontecchio has attempted 5.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 1.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Simone Fontecchio has played 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Kris Dunn Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Dunn
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Kris Dunn has successfully made 60.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 17.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year playing at home. The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Kris Dunn has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 foul shots per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Kris Dunn

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Kris Dunn has successfully made 60.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games at home, 17.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year playing at home. The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Kris Dunn has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while on his home court. Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 foul shots per game (27th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Christian Braun has made 48.1% of his treys over the last 15 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while on the road. This matchup is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest three rate in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (34.6%). The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 11thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Christian Braun has converted 93.8% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 18.8% more than he's made overall this season away from home.

Christian Braun

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Christian Braun has made 48.1% of his treys over the last 15 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while on the road. This matchup is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest three rate in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (34.6%). The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 11thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Christian Braun has converted 93.8% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 18.8% more than he's made overall this season away from home.

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.7
Best Odds
Under
-104

With respect to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 111.6 points per game away from home rates 10th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 1.1 three-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, labeling this as a tough matchup. The least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Jazz have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production across the board.

Jamal Murray

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.7
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.7

With respect to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 111.6 points per game away from home rates 10th-fewest in the league this year. This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 1.1 three-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, labeling this as a tough matchup. The least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets. The Jazz have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Jamal Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production across the board.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Points Scored Props • Denver

K. Caldwell-Pope
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-130

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 7.3 three attempts per game (29th-most in the league) against the Utah Jazz, making this a strong matchup. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 11thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 88.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile. This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 7.3 three attempts per game (29th-most in the league) against the Utah Jazz, making this a strong matchup. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 11thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 88.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.5
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler has sunk 79.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 14.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Walker Kessler has converted 66.7% of his treys over the last 10 games, 39.4% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team has tallied the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA against them this year (10.7). The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.5
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.5

Walker Kessler has sunk 79.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 14.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Walker Kessler has converted 66.7% of his treys over the last 10 games, 39.4% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team has tallied the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA against them this year (10.7). The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver

P. Watson
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Peyton Watson has converted 47.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 18.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. This matchup is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest three rate in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (34.6%). The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 11thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Peyton Watson has sunk 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Peyton Watson

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Peyton Watson has converted 47.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 18.5% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season. This matchup is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have put up the 6th-lowest three rate in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (34.6%). The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 11thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Peyton Watson has sunk 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-115

Nikola Jokic has made 78.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 19.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Nikola Jokic has made 57.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 16.4% more than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Jazz is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the league over the last 5 games (44.3%). The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Nikola Jokic has made 78.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 19.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year. Nikola Jokic has made 57.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 16.4% more than he's made in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Jazz is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have put up the 5th-lowest Field Goal% in the league over the last 5 games (44.3%). The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

The Jazz have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have secured 11.6 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets (maintaining possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).

Collin Sexton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.1

The Jazz have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6). The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the most sluggish tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets). Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have secured 11.6 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets (maintaining possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
+100

Aaron Gordon has made 67.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 11.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Aaron Gordon has converted 48.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 21.6% more than he's made from three in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.6 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 24.0 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, resulting in a good matchup for offensive production. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Aaron Gordon has made 67.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 11.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Aaron Gordon has converted 48.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 21.6% more than he's made from three in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 31.6 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 24.0 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, resulting in a good matchup for offensive production. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

Michael Porter Jr. Points Scored Props • Denver

M. Porter Jr.
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game on the road this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, designating this as a positive matchup. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 11thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Michael Porter Jr.

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game on the road this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 82nd percentile. This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, designating this as a positive matchup. The Utah Jazz have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 11thbest in in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Lauri Markkanen has compiled 23.2 points per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric. Lauri Markkanen has sunk 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Among all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.7 minutes per game while at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on threes (26th-best in the league) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a strong matchup. The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.1
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.1

Lauri Markkanen has compiled 23.2 points per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric. Lauri Markkanen has sunk 3.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Among all players in the league, Lauri Markkanen ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.7 minutes per game while at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on threes (26th-best in the league) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a strong matchup. The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.

Jordan Clarkson Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Clarkson
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.6
Best Odds
Over
-114

Jordan Clarkson has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile. This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team has tallied the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA against them this year (10.7). The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Jordan Clarkson has made 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted overall this year.

Jordan Clarkson

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.6

Jordan Clarkson has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile. This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team has tallied the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA against them this year (10.7). The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists). Jordan Clarkson has made 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted overall this year.

John Collins Points Scored Props • Utah

J. Collins
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-122

John Collins has converted 62.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team has tallied the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA against them this year (10.7). The number of field goal attempts against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (10.8 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (89th percentile). The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

John Collins

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

John Collins has converted 62.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 12.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Nuggets are the visiting team, the other team has tallied the least shots from downtown per game in the NBA against them this year (10.7). The number of field goal attempts against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (10.8 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (89th percentile). The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz. The Jazz have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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